Read more at https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/singapore/smaller-countries-singapore-work-together-us-china-hostility-11585894
(Updated: )
Finding solutions to all the challenges (trade war, US-China geopolitical tussle, Arctic maritime routes, Dual tech standard and eco-systems etc… ---- can be resolved by :-
（1） 二句诀
见闻觉知。
能生万法。
(2) Hear, See, Enlighten, Know (hear from US, China and World views on the trade dispute) (see the actions and reactions for various stakeholders) (gain enlightenment on how the world will evolve) (know the ways forward).
Transform our ways of doing things – and turn “Great Adversity into Great Opportunities”.
(3) This is how great Man like Mr LKY and PAP – has build Singapore from nothing into the modern Singapore.
(4) Singapore is now at the right place, right time, with right resources and right platform to ride out this Global challenges that can threaten our Economic livelihood and Security survival - when US lockhorn with China.
No one Countries will be spared – if we stay status quo or wait for everything to settle down – we will have nothing left.
（1） 二句诀
见闻觉知。
能生万法。
(2) Hear, See, Enlighten, Know (hear from US, China and World views on the trade dispute) (see the actions and reactions for various stakeholders) (gain enlightenment on how the world will evolve) (know the ways forward).
Transform our ways of doing things – and turn “Great Adversity into Great Opportunities”.
(3) This is how great Man like Mr LKY and PAP – has build Singapore from nothing into the modern Singapore.
(4) Singapore is now at the right place, right time, with right resources and right platform to ride out this Global challenges that can threaten our Economic livelihood and Security survival - when US lockhorn with China.
No one Countries will be spared – if we stay status quo or wait for everything to settle down – we will have nothing left.
Problem 1– US trade war will shave US$4 trillion off the World trade
(1) Background - US trade with the world is US$4 trillion - being the World largest consumption market.
US is levying tariff against its trading partners that is having trade surplus with US - namely Canada, Mexico, EU, China, India, Japan, etc - potentially the max damage the tariff war can shave off from the World is US$4 trillion.
(2) The current World Global Supply Chain - that support the current trade with US will be greatly impacted and derail - as Trump is trying to coerce a "hub and spoke" trade model --- all the World Countries as "spokes" and US as the central core "hub".
(3) Many business, plants, logistics, parts and components suppliers will be derail and some may be forced out of husiness.
(4) Then what will be our solutions to this potential destabilising mammoth derailment?
Note :- that Singapore trade with the World is close to US$1 trillion - 3 times the size of our GDP --- and many of our industries will be greatly affected - eg. airports, ports, manufactutring plants, logistics companies, banking, eCommerce retail, travel, tourism etc.
Solutions to Problem 1 :- Broad Concepts and Approaches
(1) Build core and multiple layers of concentric rings of Economic ties, deals and Agreements --- layer by layer (starting from our core, the nearest neighbors and ripple all the way out) ---- in Multi-lateral Trade Deals and Agreements. Eg. ASEAN regional integration, RCEP, BRI, CPTPP etc.(铁桶阵）。
(2) Maintain and enhanve all our current bilateral FTAs - with all the Countries to build "spoke and hub" to our "Core and Concentric Rings of Economic trade deals" --- we will have a very big "hub or core". Eg. Sing-US FTA, Sing-China FTA, Sing-India FTA, Sing-Japan FTA, Sing-Australia FTA, Sing-S Korea FTA, Sing-EU FTA, Sing-New Zealand FTA, Sing-Russia and Central Asia FTA, Sing-Africa FTA etc.
(3) Maintain and enhance current Regional and Global Supply chain and build new Regional and Global Supply Chain - with all like minded stakeholders.
We can potentially build 5 resilience Regional and Global Supply Chains - to ensure resiliency namely :-
(i) ASEAN Centrality - regional supply chain
(ii) RCEP Asia Pacific - regional supply chain
(iii) CPTPP - Global (skeleton) supply chain - that can beef up with more members - currently linking Asia, N America and S America - champion by Japan.
(iv) BRI silk routes (land and sea) - new Global Supply Chain (champion by China) - where Singapore also play a very active role
(v) The current clobbled Global Supply Chain - that trade with US.
(4) Make our workforce useful and tune in to all the various stakeholders - and make our business, workers useful and can tap opportunities that come out from the adversity.
Solutions to Problem 1-
This is called :- 第一招。万法归心。
All route back to the Heart with this principle :-
"Friends with All.
Adversaries with None.
Build mutual benefits with Win-Win Outcomes."
(1) Background - US trade with the world is US$4 trillion - being the World largest consumption market.
US is levying tariff against its trading partners that is having trade surplus with US - namely Canada, Mexico, EU, China, India, Japan, etc - potentially the max damage the tariff war can shave off from the World is US$4 trillion.
(2) The current World Global Supply Chain - that support the current trade with US will be greatly impacted and derail - as Trump is trying to coerce a "hub and spoke" trade model --- all the World Countries as "spokes" and US as the central core "hub".
(3) Many business, plants, logistics, parts and components suppliers will be derail and some may be forced out of husiness.
(4) Then what will be our solutions to this potential destabilising mammoth derailment?
Note :- that Singapore trade with the World is close to US$1 trillion - 3 times the size of our GDP --- and many of our industries will be greatly affected - eg. airports, ports, manufactutring plants, logistics companies, banking, eCommerce retail, travel, tourism etc.
Solutions to Problem 1 :- Broad Concepts and Approaches
(1) Build core and multiple layers of concentric rings of Economic ties, deals and Agreements --- layer by layer (starting from our core, the nearest neighbors and ripple all the way out) ---- in Multi-lateral Trade Deals and Agreements. Eg. ASEAN regional integration, RCEP, BRI, CPTPP etc.(铁桶阵）。
(2) Maintain and enhanve all our current bilateral FTAs - with all the Countries to build "spoke and hub" to our "Core and Concentric Rings of Economic trade deals" --- we will have a very big "hub or core". Eg. Sing-US FTA, Sing-China FTA, Sing-India FTA, Sing-Japan FTA, Sing-Australia FTA, Sing-S Korea FTA, Sing-EU FTA, Sing-New Zealand FTA, Sing-Russia and Central Asia FTA, Sing-Africa FTA etc.
(3) Maintain and enhance current Regional and Global Supply chain and build new Regional and Global Supply Chain - with all like minded stakeholders.
We can potentially build 5 resilience Regional and Global Supply Chains - to ensure resiliency namely :-
(i) ASEAN Centrality - regional supply chain
(ii) RCEP Asia Pacific - regional supply chain
(iii) CPTPP - Global (skeleton) supply chain - that can beef up with more members - currently linking Asia, N America and S America - champion by Japan.
(iv) BRI silk routes (land and sea) - new Global Supply Chain (champion by China) - where Singapore also play a very active role
(v) The current clobbled Global Supply Chain - that trade with US.
(4) Make our workforce useful and tune in to all the various stakeholders - and make our business, workers useful and can tap opportunities that come out from the adversity.
Solutions to Problem 1-
This is called :- 第一招。万法归心。
All route back to the Heart with this principle :-
"Friends with All.
Adversaries with None.
Build mutual benefits with Win-Win Outcomes."
敌人无一个。
以互惠互利共识建立双赢结果。“
Like · Reply · 1m
Lam Chian Leong
Problem 2– The emerging of Arctic maritime route - that can undercut Singapore maritime route
(1) Background - Due to melting of ice in Arctic, Countries such as Russia, Scandanavian, EU, China, US and Singapore have form an Arctic Council to look at the possibility of an alternative maritime route over Arctic.
(2) This will have the effect of China, Japan, S Korea bypassing ASEAN, Singapore, Australia, New Zealand, India --- going by this route to Central Asia, Russia, EU, Middle East, Africa.
Solution - 3 steps process
(1) Plug nodes into critical market and ports - through joint projects, investments, joint ventures, industrial park, joint R&D etc. Eg. Chongqing CCI, Greater Bay Area in Guangdong and HK ports, Shanghai ports in Yangtze Delta, Vietnam ports, ASEAN ports, Indonesia ports, Australia ports, New Zealand ports, India ports etc ---- will be critical for us to link all them up by "smart precise investment and joint projects".
(2) Build virtual connectivity via Digitial Economy, market access, friendship, business contact, trade deals and agreements, trade, business, travel etc. ASEAN centrality, RCEP, CPTPP, BRI, Singapore FTA with India, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore FTA with China, Singapore FTA with Russia etc.
(3) Build up critical cores of port facilities, warehousing, logistic chain, transport connectivity, port-of-call, bunker facilities, all-in-one services, MRO etc - and link up with Step 1 and Step 2. ---- as well as with our FTA with EU, US, Africa, India, Russia, Africa etc ---- that will ensure they will ply into Singapore ports.
Solutions to Problem 2-
This is called :-
第二招 - 色是空，空是色。
- build physical nodes, and achieve integration with virtual connectivity and integration,
- through virtual connectivity - build physical maritime routes and physical connectivity back to Singapore ports.
(1) Background - Due to melting of ice in Arctic, Countries such as Russia, Scandanavian, EU, China, US and Singapore have form an Arctic Council to look at the possibility of an alternative maritime route over Arctic.
(2) This will have the effect of China, Japan, S Korea bypassing ASEAN, Singapore, Australia, New Zealand, India --- going by this route to Central Asia, Russia, EU, Middle East, Africa.
Solution - 3 steps process
(1) Plug nodes into critical market and ports - through joint projects, investments, joint ventures, industrial park, joint R&D etc. Eg. Chongqing CCI, Greater Bay Area in Guangdong and HK ports, Shanghai ports in Yangtze Delta, Vietnam ports, ASEAN ports, Indonesia ports, Australia ports, New Zealand ports, India ports etc ---- will be critical for us to link all them up by "smart precise investment and joint projects".
(2) Build virtual connectivity via Digitial Economy, market access, friendship, business contact, trade deals and agreements, trade, business, travel etc. ASEAN centrality, RCEP, CPTPP, BRI, Singapore FTA with India, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore FTA with China, Singapore FTA with Russia etc.
(3) Build up critical cores of port facilities, warehousing, logistic chain, transport connectivity, port-of-call, bunker facilities, all-in-one services, MRO etc - and link up with Step 1 and Step 2. ---- as well as with our FTA with EU, US, Africa, India, Russia, Africa etc ---- that will ensure they will ply into Singapore ports.
Solutions to Problem 2-
This is called :-
第二招 - 色是空，空是色。
- build physical nodes, and achieve integration with virtual connectivity and integration,
- through virtual connectivity - build physical maritime routes and physical connectivity back to Singapore ports.
Like · Reply · 1m
Lam Chian Leong
Problem 3 - Possibility of breaking up into 2 standards - US tech standard and tech eco-system (such as google, microsoft, whatsapp, facebook etc) and China tech standard and tech eco-system (such as Huawei, Alibaba, Tencent, Baidu etc).
Problem 4 - US and China trade war (the like of Japan Plaza Accord - using Ronald Reagan tariff strategy to break Japan trade with US), geopolitical influence tussle, Global leadership tussle, Global Security tussle, Global tech tussle, Global strategic base, ports - A2/AD (Anti-Access, Area Defense) etc.
Problem 4 - US and China trade war (the like of Japan Plaza Accord - using Ronald Reagan tariff strategy to break Japan trade with US), geopolitical influence tussle, Global leadership tussle, Global Security tussle, Global tech tussle, Global strategic base, ports - A2/AD (Anti-Access, Area Defense) etc.
Like · Reply · 1m
Gregory Weaver
That may not be possible given the hostility between the US and China that appears to be escalating. What happens in 2 or 3 years when the US starts to impose tariffs on products containing Chinese components? Countries will at some point in time be forces to chose sides and that will be that.
Your 10 years to late on this. The gap between the US and China is so large and still growing. Stemming the destruction in its wake will eventually tear at the fabric of every country on the planet.
Had The global community done more to address the non tariff protectionist measures imposed by China 10 years ago you might have had a chance. Once the US and Chinese economies are fully decoupled you'll be looking at a cold war in which both sides will try and undermine the other through indirect means.
Your 10 years to late on this. The gap between the US and China is so large and still growing. Stemming the destruction in its wake will eventually tear at the fabric of every country on the planet.
Had The global community done more to address the non tariff protectionist measures imposed by China 10 years ago you might have had a chance. Once the US and Chinese economies are fully decoupled you'll be looking at a cold war in which both sides will try and undermine the other through indirect means.
Loh Kean Meng
道德经
大國者下流，
天下之歸大國，猶衆水之趨下流也。天下之交，天下之牝。牝常以靜勝牡，
以靜為下。
衆動之赴靜，猶衆高之赴下也。
故大國以下小國，則取小國；小國以下大國，則取大國。
大國能下，則小國附之。小國能下，則大國納之。
故或下以取，或下而取。
大國下以取人，小國下而取於人。
大國不過欲兼畜人，小國不過欲入事人，兩者各得其所欲，故大者宜為下。
大國者下流，
天下之歸大國，猶衆水之趨下流也。天下之交，天下之牝。牝常以靜勝牡，
以靜為下。
衆動之赴靜，猶衆高之赴下也。
故大國以下小國，則取小國；小國以下大國，則取大國。
大國能下，則小國附之。小國能下，則大國納之。
故或下以取，或下而取。
大國下以取人，小國下而取於人。
大國不過欲兼畜人，小國不過欲入事人，兩者各得其所欲，故大者宜為下。
Yeok Fong Yong
Once Trump is voted out World peace will return like when Hitler is dead World War 2 winds down.... Hehehe
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