Saturday, May 18, 2019

Joementum: Biden ramps up 2020 bid with wind at his back
Read more at https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/world/joementum--biden-ramps-up-2020-bid-with-wind-at-his-back--11545286

18 May 2019 03:38PM
Lam Chian Leong
(1) Joe Biden sounds like an impressive potential Presidential candidate that can offer better prospects than Trump - for US voters, and the World.

(2) Let see and hope Joe Biden can last the rigour of campaigning to eventually win the Presidency.
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Lam Chian Leong
(1) Hopefully Joe Biden can restore and recover from the mess created by the :-
(a) rash and reckless tariff trade war
(b) breaking of the Global Climate deal
(c) breaking all the multi-lateral deals such as TPP etc
(d) breaking the nuclear deal
plus other International Deals - that throw the World into disarray.
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Gillster Ein
Unfortunately, the picture painted by mainstream news outlets do not reflect the reality of America's domestic politics.

In 2016, voters elected Donald Trump over Hillary Clinton as a strong rebuke to the decades of neoliberal economic policies that gave them 3 straight years of lowered life expectancy (an anomaly considering America's GDP and the nation's "wealth"), a worsening opiod crisis and soaring wealth inequality. Each year, the record number of suicides and shootings steadily increase. Anyone paying attention knows the social fabric in the US has been tearing apart for a while now. Trump is a symptom of systemic problems that exist in the U.S.

If the democrats nominate yet another "safe choice" and "known entity" like this article suggests - Joe Biden (a much weaker general election candidate than Clinton, who had the democratic political machine fully behind her back in 2016) - Trump will be handed his re-election on a silver platter come 2020.
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Gillster Ein
If Biden were to campaign on "restoring and recovering" from the "mess" created by the "breaking of the TPP" - itself - a hot button issue with blue collar workers in the rust belt (described as Biden's main appeal in this article), he would lose the primaries. If he wins the primaries campaigning on restoring TPP (highly unlikely), he would lose the general elections to Trump in a landslide.

Workers in Midwestern states rejected the TPP in 2016. In fact, Clinton was forced to back out of TPP (in rhetoric) during her own campaign and Trump was elected precisely because he promised workers he would withdraw from the TPP. Haha... your comment reflects a lack of understanding in US politics.
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Gillster Ein
The poll numbers in this article (taken from Real Clear Politics average) is largely the result of oversampling registered and likely voters >50yo using mostly landlines and sometimes digital lines. Only 40% of the US population are still using land lines. The methodology used by most pollsters are notoriously flawed. Notably, CNN and HarrisX. Emerson and Fox (terrible news outlet, but excellent pollster) are far more accurate in sampling methods.

The reality is, Biden is doing poorly with the 18-49yo voting bloc, millennials have also overtaken boomers and there will be a huge shift in voting patterns come 2020. Anyone paying attention to US politics knows the democratic primaries in 2020 is another proxy war of economic ideology between the younger (GenZs and millennials, some GenX'ers) and older generations (some GenX'ers, boomers and the silent generation).

Sanders and Biden represent both factions respectively. This is much more accurately reported by the Financial Times and Business Insider Singapore than Channel News Asia.

Biden has a long history of being funded by big businesses and corporate executives (he notably sided with credit card industries in the 2005 Bankruptcy Bill resulting in millions trapped in student debt today, mired in bankruptcies), he authored the 1994 crime bill that led to massive incarceration of the African American community, his documented history of acting inappropriately with women and children (see YouTube), the Anita Hill hearings, his embrace of school segregation in the 1970s makes him an extremely vulnerable candidate to run for the democrats. That he is also running AGAINST Single Payer Program (the hottest concern of voters) right now in America is another problem he must navigate during the debates.

His nearest competitor, Sanders, stands a much better chance than news outlets would have anyone outside America believe.

Biden will be closely watched for 3 things before talk of any "Joementum" can be taken seriously:

1. Attendance of his kick off rally in Philadelphia today will be compared to Sanders' rally in neighboring Pittsburgh, which attracted 4500 to attend.

2. His campaign finance report, FEC filings for this coming quarter, and exactly how many small dollar donors bothered donating to Biden's campaign (seen as an indicator of popularity and ground support). Voters do not like it when their politicians are funded by big businesses and mega corporations. The overturn of Citizens United, Clinton and Obama's infamous paid speeches by Wall Street are both seen as a form of corruption in politics.

3. Performance during June debates. It is here, where the reality of Biden's cognitive decline and incoherent speech under intense interviews will be revealed.

The only thing blowing at Biden's back, are the wealthy elites funding his presidential campaign. Absent some form of gerrymandering, I doubt he will ever become the nominee. Much less win the GE.

This should be filed as an opinion piece rather than objective news report. Where is CNA's journalistic standard?
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