Thursday, May 23, 2019

India's PM Modi wins historic general election victory, party says
Read more at https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/asia/india-pm-narendra-modi-wins-general-election-bjp-11558240

 (Updated: )

(1) With Modi's win, hope there will be continuity and impetus to ratify the RCEP mega multi-lateral trade deal.

(2) This will help to boost multi-lateral trade within Asia Pacifi region and cushion the impact of trade war launch by Trump.


(3) Ratifying RCEP will be a morale booster for India, China, Japan etc --- that are at the receiving end of Trump trade tariff.

(4) It will also be a happy news to the whole Asia Pacific region - as it will drive trade, business, investment and travel within the Asia Pacific - when World Trade is now clobbled by the reckless and rash trade war launch by Trump ----- leading to a Lose-Lose-Lose outcome.


(5) 山不转,路转。
路不转,人转。

人不转,脑转
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(1) Wonder if the RCEP is not able to proceed faster than expected - is because of election in a few member states such as India, Australia, Indonesia and Thailand.

(2) Now all the incumbents of these Countries are return to power - wonder whether this will trigger the momentum of ratifying the RCEP --- which is much desire - given so many negative news related to trade war and protectionist moves erupted worldwide - thanks to Trump.
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(1) RCEP should also have the effect of reconfiguring another Supply Chain - and cushion against the crippled Global Supply Chain (brought about by the "Hub and Spoke" trade model approach) launch by Trump's trade war.

(2) This is the RCEP inspired "Asia Pacific Supply Chain" -- to serve all the Asia Pacific member states in trade, business, investment and travel.

(3) The BRI silk route (land and sea) - can also carved out another Supply Chain - "BRI Global Supply Chain" - that connect Asia Pacific RCEP to Central Asia, Middle East, Africa, Europe, South America and North America.

(4) This will in effect carved out 4 Global Supply Chain :-
--- the now crippled Global Supply Chain - hobble by Trump trade war.
--- the new RCEP - Asia Pacific Supply Chain
--- the BRI inspired - new Global Supply Chain.
--- and not to forget the CPTPP - alternative Global Supply Chain (that link Asia Pacific to South America and North America).

(5) Thus 4 potential "resilience" and "alternative" Global Supply Chains are build --- and there are no way similar Trump-like trade war --- can disrupt the Global Supply Chain and Global Trade --- because 4 alternate paths are built.

(6) 脑转了,人转。
人转了,路转。
路转了,山转。

山转了,喜相逢。
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