Tuesday, March 17, 2015

US, Iran resume nuke talks with GOP letter hanging over them


ricky l
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ricky l • a second agoRemove
As long as the nuclear deal is meant for peaceful one - technically not able to be converted into nuclear weapons ----- cannot see how this deal will be strike off.

In fact 2 scenarios will be more frightening if the above deal is not strike.
(1) a bad deal where it is possible to convert the peaceful nuclear programme into nuclear weapons.
(2) walk away from the deal - with the potential to convert into nuclear weapons.

Consequences will be :-
(1) renewed sanctions - that will devastate Iran's Economy - and cause economic miseries to Iranians.
(2) renewed hostility - Arab Sunni, Israel, US and the West - as airstrike, terrorism, nuclear war are possibilities - with all sides scrambling to out do one another to prevent the development of nuclear weapons.
(3) more tense geopolitical influences - as opponents will seek to choke or manoeuvre to suffocate Iran's influence.
(4) business, trade, investment, oil exports etc will be restricted that will cause economic, social and political woes.

Thus a successful nuclear deal - a peaceful deal with no technical feasibility of developing nuclear weapons will be a "Win-Win" for all parties involved, albeit for the World.
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ricky l
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ricky l • a second agoRemove
No one in the right mind will strike off a peaceful nuclear deal that have no chance to convert into nuclear weapons - because other alternatives will be devastating to the whole Middle East region - that have grave impact to the World impacting the World oil supply chain.
ricky l
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ricky l • a second agoRemove
That is the consequences will be far worst for Iran if :-
2 scenarios happens :-
(1) a bad deal where it is possible to convert the peaceful nuclear programme into nuclear weapons.
(2) walk away from the deal - with the potential to convert into nuclear weapons. 
ricky l
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ricky l • a second agoRemove
Conversely, if there are acceptable nuclear deal for civilian used and there are no means to produce nuclear weapons, the benefits are many fold :-
(1) sanctions against Iran will be lifted. Economy in Iran will grow.
(2) tension in Middle East go one notch down. Sunni Arabs, Israel and US will have potential to improve relationship with Iran.
(3) more cooperation and less hostility in geo-political engagement in Middle East.
(4) trade, business, investment will go up.
(5) more cooperation in resisting hardline terrorism - and terrorism in the region will reduce in the long run.
(6) win many friends all over the World.

Thus striking an acceptable nuclear deal - will be the most wholesome outcome. 

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