Wednesday, January 17, 2018

US, allies meet on North Korea but China absence looms

US Secretary of State Rex Tillerson was joined by his hawkish Japanese counterpart at 20-nation talks in Vancouver in calling for tougher punitive measures against Pyongyang.
Read more at https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/world/us-allies-meet-on-north-korea-but-china-absence-looms-9867920
 (Updated: )
Ricky Lim · 

Think that international community must be able to give strong assurance to N Korea that its security will not be compromised - in exchange for denuclearisation talk.

Flip flop of signed International Agreement is not a good sign of such assurance.

Eg. People can rescind :-
(1) Multilateral trade deal sign
(2) Rescind Paris climate agreement
(3) Want to jettison the Iran nuclear deal
(4) Rescind the Jerusalem international deal

plus many others.

Integrity of International Agreement is the important assurance - before N Korea will be confident to come out forward boldly for denuclearisation talk.
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Ricky Lim · 

Next is important for S Korea and N Korea talk to bear fruits - as more talks, more trust, more confident will be built.

In so doing, security assurance that war will not break out in Korean Peninsula can slowly formed and more integration of both S Korea and N Korea can be made ---- to build "insurance", to build more "joint stakes" by both sides.

With more such efforts, when trust is build up when "security assurance" is almost a certainty - hopefully there is a possibility of denuclearisation talk.
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Ricky Lim · 

Thinking aloud, any hermit State, being isolated for many decades, it will not be easy for it to come out and trust the World.

Thinking aloud and remembering during 1978, when the then Mr LKY went to China and talk to the then Mr Deng Xiao Ping - a private conversation takes place.

It goes like this :-
(1) If a generation make up of peasants and labourers can build a modern society, why not a big Countries with so much resources and scholars remains behind.

This cause a big hermit isolated State to come out, trust the World and become a successful Country.

The same thing should go for N Korea.
It can be done.
What N Korea needs - is someone he trust to come out.

There are 3 N Korea can trust - S Korea (your blood brother), China and Russia - and this should be a good security assurance to come out and be confident to face the World - not with "nuclear" - but confident that your Economy can do a facelift and uplift.

International Community should provide security assurance to N Korea - that it will not invade N Korea nor force a regime change.
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Ricky Lim · 

If China can do it.
If Vietnam can do it.
If Cambodia can do it.

If Myanmar can do it.

Cannot see why N Korea cannot do it.
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Ricky Lim · 
N Korea can be assured that if N Korea do well in uplifting its Economy and prosper, US big boy will not bother you - because you are not taking away its rice bowl.

But if N Korea continue to lock horn with US using nuclear -- it can be very sure that US will not let N Korea go - and may act (which actually is an avoidable war).
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Ricky Lim · 

Also Vietnam (US ex-foe),
Cambodia (US ex-foe),
Myanmar (formerly sanction by US) ---- all don't have nuclear.

US did not bother them - and allow them to do well and prosper with Economy uplifting.

Why US pick on N Korea? Because N Korea want to use nuclear to threaten it --- that is why US is adamant not to let go of N Korea unless N Korea held denuclearised talk.

Thus it will be safer for N Korea - to finally expressing willingness to denuclearise in exchange for security assurance + economic development.

N Korea can do well economically, prosper and thrive --- like China, Vietnam, Cambodia and Myanmar --- if N Korea is brave enough to come out, face the World bravely in search for peace.
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