Lawyer Murali to contest as PAP’s candidate for Bukit Batok SMC by-election
ricky lnow
I believe fielding the minority candidate in Bukit Batok by-election is to test a few hypothesis - that will serve as input for a larger strategy in futre General Election.
(1) Pitting a minority candidate and little known one against SDP Chee - is to test :-
(a) whether opposition other than WP can win an election
(b) whether a minority can beat a majority race in a one-to-one fight
(c) whether fielding a lesser known candidate back by an incumbent Party - can beat a better known opposition
(d) whether the National Policies so far proposed or implemented - can help a lesser known candidate beat a better known opposition candidate
(e) whether a minority but known as active grassroot member in Bukit Batok can beat a helicopter insert better known candidate can win a by-election.
(f) whether can win a by-election when the Government is already in power - with a lesser known candidate.
All the above hypothesis can be tested in just one by-election and the incumbent Government has nothing to lose as the Government is already in power.
But all the hypothesis that are tested - will a valuable wealth of information that can help to buid a more informed strategies in future General Election.
To sum up, can a National Policies that help Singaporeans - overwhelm the desire to have a "vocal oppostion" just to make noise in a Parliament.
ricky lnow
It is also used to test the hypothesis of a Presidential Election :-
(1) whether a minority can win against majority race to be a President
(2) whether National Policies that help Singaporeans - can help a preferred President to win against others.
The above hypothesis will also help to formulate the criteria of electing a President that is supportive of the Government - and not an antagonist.
ricky lnow
And I believe one more hypothesis to test :-
(1) in an Economic environment that is slowing down, will it help the incumbent lesser known candidate beat a better known opposition - as Singaporeans prefer to have a safer piece of hand to handle the Economy.
I think the above hypothesis make sense - and is missed out.
ricky lnow
And most important to test the hypothesis that whether can win Single Constituency with a lesser known candidate versus GRC.
If prove success there will be lesser GRC or smaller GRC - as minority can also win in Single Constituency.
EDDIE16 minutes ago
Very good analysis.
SinoSino2 hours ago
Call Lim Ho Tong @ nine eight one eight nine one one eight for his comments. He knows Tan Jee Say. An Interesting person to talk to.
Reply
K16 hours ago
Tan6 hours ago
