Read more at https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/asia/12000-chinese-police-officers-anti-riot-training-shenzhen-11788278
(Updated: )
Danny Lum
Posted on:- 25 Jul 2019 07:01PM (Updated: 25 Jul 2019 07:15PM)
Danny Lum
(1) The total HK police strength is 35,000 vs 100,000 or more who protest.
(2) Not all the Police are riot police.
(3) Sometimes the protest are decentralised - thus the police strength are depleted - and the protestors overwhelm the police though police are better equipped.
(4) Police are restrained from using more effective equipment like riot vehicles dispensing tear gas, rubber bullet, riot tractors to clear obstacles, tear gas etc --- as the media side the protestors more than the Police.
(5) HK police family are under threat - and thus they will be less effective when carrying out the duties.
(6) China PLA garrison deploy in HK is only 6,000 and their structure is more to protect against external threat - rather than internal riot.
Eg. they are armor unit, navy, army troops etc - and not for controlling riot.
If the China PLA garrions in HK are deployed - they are more accustomed to use their weapons and battle maneouver - than carrying riot gear to combat the protestors.
(7) Also 6,000 strength may not be sufficient to beef up the HK police of 35,000 ---- if they are facing more than 100,000 protestors.
(8) To be effective, PLA from mainland (trained in riot conttol) will be more effective --- and they most likely will come in through Yuen Long.
(9) All these HK black protestors - are playing with fire and testing the patience --- without knowing the consequences.
Like · Reply · 1m
Danny Lum
(1) In retrospect, these HK black protestors fail to size up the context they are in.
(2) HK is part of China. China will not let HK declare independent - and this HK protestors fool themselves by demanding so.
China will commit troop if these HK protestors force this agenda through --- this is the 1st moment of truth that they must realise and accept.
(3) HK protestors demand that their governor must be elected by universal suffrage.
But HK governor during British time are never voted in - they are appointed by UK.
Similarly, the currect governor are "elected" by a group of committee (improvement from appointment).
So to China - the protestors demand is excessive and unreasonable. ---- this is the 2nd moment of truth.
(4) HK protestors must realise that China will gradually exert influence in HK from now and all the way until 2047 where they will then takeover.
HK protestors must not be naive to think the China will not do anything - and come 2047 - take over in a "cold turkey" manner --- then start to infuse China mainlanders in, China system and law come in - and brawl will broke up ---- as the 2 systems are vastly different from 2 opposing ends. -- this is the 3rd moment of truth.
(5) China will emphasize economy and social well-being like in the mainland --- while enforcing a less open system in politics, where China will put high priority in stability - political stability, social order and economic order - this is the 4th moment of truth that HK people must realise and accept.
(6) If HK protestors fail to accept the above 4 moment of truth ---- the deadlock will continue and the protest will not stop --- until a stronger force come down to restore order.
Like · Reply · 1m
Danny Lum
(1) The total HK police strength is 35,000 vs 100,000 or more who protest.
(2) Not all the Police are riot police.
(3) Sometimes the protest are decentralised - thus the police strength are depleted - and the protestors overwhelm the police though police are better equipped.
(4) Police are restrained from using more effective equipment like riot vehicles dispensing tear gas, rubber bullet, riot tractors to clear obstacles, tear gas etc --- as the media side the protestors more than the Police.
(5) HK police family are under threat - and thus they will be less effective when carrying out the duties.
(6) China PLA garrison deploy in HK is only 6,000 and their structure is more to protect against external threat - rather than internal riot.
Eg. they are armor unit, navy, army troops etc - and not for controlling riot.
If the China PLA garrions in HK are deployed - they are more accustomed to use their weapons and battle maneouver - than carrying riot gear to combat the protestors.
(7) Also 6,000 strength may not be sufficient to beef up the HK police of 35,000 ---- if they are facing more than 100,000 protestors.
(8) To be effective, PLA from mainland (trained in riot conttol) will be more effective --- and they most likely will come in through Yuen Long.
(9) All these HK black protestors - are playing with fire and testing the patience --- without knowing the consequences.
Like · Reply · 1m
Danny Lum
(1) In retrospect, these HK black protestors fail to size up the context they are in.
(2) HK is part of China. China will not let HK declare independent - and this HK protestors fool themselves by demanding so.
China will commit troop if these HK protestors force this agenda through --- this is the 1st moment of truth that they must realise and accept.
(3) HK protestors demand that their governor must be elected by universal suffrage.
But HK governor during British time are never voted in - they are appointed by UK.
Similarly, the currect governor are "elected" by a group of committee (improvement from appointment).
So to China - the protestors demand is excessive and unreasonable. ---- this is the 2nd moment of truth.
(4) HK protestors must realise that China will gradually exert influence in HK from now and all the way until 2047 where they will then takeover.
HK protestors must not be naive to think the China will not do anything - and come 2047 - take over in a "cold turkey" manner --- then start to infuse China mainlanders in, China system and law come in - and brawl will broke up ---- as the 2 systems are vastly different from 2 opposing ends. -- this is the 3rd moment of truth.
(5) China will emphasize economy and social well-being like in the mainland --- while enforcing a less open system in politics, where China will put high priority in stability - political stability, social order and economic order - this is the 4th moment of truth that HK people must realise and accept.
(6) If HK protestors fail to accept the above 4 moment of truth ---- the deadlock will continue and the protest will not stop --- until a stronger force come down to restore order.
Like · Reply · 1m
Jasveer Jurrah
March here march there pretend to be doing something.... Come on china crow a pair .... Even a one can
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