Commentary: Victor Cha dropped as pick for Seoul envoy? Highly unnerving for Asia
That a key contender was dropped because of his views does not bode well for developments on the Korean Peninsula and US foreign policy toward Asia, says Korea Expose’s Steven Borowiec.
(Updated: )
Tony Bass
Despite the (comical) tough talks, Donald J. Trump is unlikely to be able to order an invasion of North Korea. First, the generals would not follow those suicidal orders, especially since they all know the history of the failed US engagement in the "Korean War." Second, mobilization of war forces would alert China, which would do everything possible to prevent war in its backyard. Third, Russia too would likely oppose any invasion of its former client-state, North Korea. Other Asian nations and European nations (hopefully) would seek to prevent a war that would result in tremendous casualties, and potential deployment of nuclear weapons. Thus, the likelihood of the US invading North Korea is as slim as Donald J. Trump being impeached and convicted.
Ricky Lim ·
Well there are few things that you have to be mindful about.
(1) Bombing drill runs with B1-Bs bombers (with 16 nuke bombs each) have been done and perfected from 3 directions and all are not detected by the N Korean radar. This will embolden Trump to do a stealth pre-emptive strike.
(2) Trump can issue his nuclear code from his nuclear briefcase that took 5 minutes and 15 minutes, nuke commanders will launch nuke missiles overriding his top generals - and no one can stop him.
(3) In Dec 2017 to Jan 2018, 3 strike carriers were in the vicinity of Korean Peninsula - and the firepower are overwhelming - with the perfected drills of the Japan and S Korea airforce.
(4) Minuteman ICBMs with 10 nuke warhead only need 15 minutes to 30 minutes mean time to impact.
(5) White House is in midst of drawing out detail pre-emptive strike plan (just look at the stone face of top generals of the airforce, navy and the army plus his top Ministers) - you will see how close the holocaust are.
There is no need to mobilise war force and alert anyone before the strike.
So if you say Trump can't do anything may be entirely wrong.
(1) Bombing drill runs with B1-Bs bombers (with 16 nuke bombs each) have been done and perfected from 3 directions and all are not detected by the N Korean radar. This will embolden Trump to do a stealth pre-emptive strike.
(2) Trump can issue his nuclear code from his nuclear briefcase that took 5 minutes and 15 minutes, nuke commanders will launch nuke missiles overriding his top generals - and no one can stop him.
(3) In Dec 2017 to Jan 2018, 3 strike carriers were in the vicinity of Korean Peninsula - and the firepower are overwhelming - with the perfected drills of the Japan and S Korea airforce.
(4) Minuteman ICBMs with 10 nuke warhead only need 15 minutes to 30 minutes mean time to impact.
(5) White House is in midst of drawing out detail pre-emptive strike plan (just look at the stone face of top generals of the airforce, navy and the army plus his top Ministers) - you will see how close the holocaust are.
There is no need to mobilise war force and alert anyone before the strike.
So if you say Trump can't do anything may be entirely wrong.
Like · Reply · 1m
Ricky Lim ·
And during the period of Dec 2017 to Jan 2018 - more than 7 multiple sources highlight "red alert" ---- as any wrong action by N Korean - such as another launch instead of suddenly switch for talk - may have trigger a "touch-and-go" avoidable nuclear war.
Like · Reply · 3m
Ricky Lim ·
Also when Trump drop his MOAB - Mother of All Bomb in Afghanistan - is there any sign of mobilisation?
Trump inform the China President during the lunch meeting after the bomb is dropped.
So never underestimate what Trump can do.
He is too unpredictable and may do something horrifying - in which he may not even understand its consequences. This is the most scary part.
Trump inform the China President during the lunch meeting after the bomb is dropped.
So never underestimate what Trump can do.
He is too unpredictable and may do something horrifying - in which he may not even understand its consequences. This is the most scary part.
Like · Reply · 1m
Ricky Lim ·
Else why someone catch Trump to do a mental health screening immediately after 3 Jan 2018 - when he say "my button is bigger, more powerful and it works".
You think is for fun.
If no one keep an "hawk-eyes" view on him since his inauguration as President, humanity will be dead by now.
You think is for fun.
If no one keep an "hawk-eyes" view on him since his inauguration as President, humanity will be dead by now.
Like · Reply · 1m · Edited
Tony Bass
Ricky Lim China and Russia will be alerted to any military actions by the USA. I would not be surprised if Kim Jung-un has already set up missiles to be launched automatically aginst US bases in South Korea and Japan if any of his homes are attacked. Kim Jung-un is a survivalist, not suicidal. Trump can order any attack he wants but if his military commanders determine that Trump is of unsound mind when he gave the orders, they will not follow through -- yes, the USA will then be entangled in a Constitutional Crisis.
Despite what people may think of the US military commanders (generals and admirals), they have learned from the unending Iraq and Aghanistan wars the US started, and they do not want to start another war, well because they are war-fatigued.
Despite what people may think of the US military commanders (generals and admirals), they have learned from the unending Iraq and Aghanistan wars the US started, and they do not want to start another war, well because they are war-fatigued.
Ricky Lim ·
Tony Bass -
As we spoke, just received this news :-
Pentagon pushes for new, low-yield nuclear bombs
"This is a response to Russian expansion of their capability and the nature of their strategy and doctrine," Defence Secretary Jim Mattis wrote in the introduction to the 75-page document.
"This is a response to Russian expansion of their capability and the nature of their strategy and doctrine," Defence Secretary Jim Mattis wrote in the introduction to the 75-page document.PHOTO: AFP
PUBLISHED6 HOURS AGO 3 Feb 2018
FACEBOOK1TWITTEREMAIL
WASHINGTON (AFP) - The US military wants to revamp its nuclear arsenal and develop new low-yield atomic bombs, largely in response to Russian actions in recent years, the Pentagon says in a new policy statement.
The so-called Nuclear Posture Review, released on Friday (February 2), outlines the Pentagon's nuclear ambitions under President Donald Trump and is the first time since 2010 that the military has spelled out how it foresees nuclear threats in the coming decades.
It marks a sobering break from the vision for America's atomic future under former president Barack Obama, who during a famous speech in Prague in 2009 called for the elimination of nuclear weapons.
---
So Trump will have no hestitation to nuke N Korea when tension build up.
Also, did you knew that :-
(1) China had just conducted a nuclear contamination exercise and refugee control exercise in Dec 2017?
(2) Both China and Russia had conducted joint naval and air exercise around the north-eastern side of N Korea.
(3) China had conducted another naval and air exercise on the west side of N Korea.
(4) Both China, Russia envoys were dispatched to N Korea. UN envoy also dispatch to N Korea.
-- There are more "red alerts" not in my liberty to disclose. But all the danger signs are there.
- Also read the news issued by N Korea - where its Foreign Minister mention - it was almost a "touch-and-go" war danger.
It is not a joke - if you think it is not a close call.
As we spoke, just received this news :-
Pentagon pushes for new, low-yield nuclear bombs
"This is a response to Russian expansion of their capability and the nature of their strategy and doctrine," Defence Secretary Jim Mattis wrote in the introduction to the 75-page document.
"This is a response to Russian expansion of their capability and the nature of their strategy and doctrine," Defence Secretary Jim Mattis wrote in the introduction to the 75-page document.PHOTO: AFP
PUBLISHED6 HOURS AGO 3 Feb 2018
FACEBOOK1TWITTEREMAIL
WASHINGTON (AFP) - The US military wants to revamp its nuclear arsenal and develop new low-yield atomic bombs, largely in response to Russian actions in recent years, the Pentagon says in a new policy statement.
The so-called Nuclear Posture Review, released on Friday (February 2), outlines the Pentagon's nuclear ambitions under President Donald Trump and is the first time since 2010 that the military has spelled out how it foresees nuclear threats in the coming decades.
It marks a sobering break from the vision for America's atomic future under former president Barack Obama, who during a famous speech in Prague in 2009 called for the elimination of nuclear weapons.
---
So Trump will have no hestitation to nuke N Korea when tension build up.
Also, did you knew that :-
(1) China had just conducted a nuclear contamination exercise and refugee control exercise in Dec 2017?
(2) Both China and Russia had conducted joint naval and air exercise around the north-eastern side of N Korea.
(3) China had conducted another naval and air exercise on the west side of N Korea.
(4) Both China, Russia envoys were dispatched to N Korea. UN envoy also dispatch to N Korea.
-- There are more "red alerts" not in my liberty to disclose. But all the danger signs are there.
- Also read the news issued by N Korea - where its Foreign Minister mention - it was almost a "touch-and-go" war danger.
It is not a joke - if you think it is not a close call.
Like · Reply · 1m · Edited
Ricky Lim ·
One wrong move on N Korea.
Or one wrong move by N Korea.
It will not only be a "nuclear war" - it could be a "WW3".
3 SuperPowers (US, China, Russia) converged onto the Korean Peninsula - and “灭世尊” (Humanity Destroyer) emerged.
--
Posted in :-
Fri 20 Jan, 2017 3:26 AM
ricky l 0 seconds ago
Hour before the announcement of US Election result :-
One Big Bang comes ------ Lightning strike and Thunder roar - when reading the 1st headline of US Election result .....
And a "Vision appear" --------- there will be One Big Bang.......
Ricky Lim ·
Singapore
Posted in :-
January 11, 2017
ricky l 17 seconds ago
The most likely major conflict happening in Asia Pacific region should be :-
(1) Korea war - quite likely when US and allied sense that ICBM become real
----
A war breaking out against N Korea is increasingly possible - because karma is ripening.
See less
Or one wrong move by N Korea.
It will not only be a "nuclear war" - it could be a "WW3".
3 SuperPowers (US, China, Russia) converged onto the Korean Peninsula - and “灭世尊” (Humanity Destroyer) emerged.
--
Posted in :-
Fri 20 Jan, 2017 3:26 AM
ricky l 0 seconds ago
Hour before the announcement of US Election result :-
One Big Bang comes ------ Lightning strike and Thunder roar - when reading the 1st headline of US Election result .....
And a "Vision appear" --------- there will be One Big Bang.......
Ricky Lim ·
Singapore
Posted in :-
January 11, 2017
ricky l 17 seconds ago
The most likely major conflict happening in Asia Pacific region should be :-
(1) Korea war - quite likely when US and allied sense that ICBM become real
----
A war breaking out against N Korea is increasingly possible - because karma is ripening.
See less
Like · Reply · 1m
Ricky Lim ·
Tony Bass - if i am warmongering and speculating, i won't be trying to prevent war more than anyone else.
Posted on :-
01 Feb 2018 11:05AM
Ricky Lim ·
Singapore
Searching for ways to resolve Korean Peninsula confrontation and nuclear crisis. Trawl the internet on 1950s Korean war
And look through various videos of 1950s Korean war.
遇事先沉心。静中自得悟。
Noted that what cause Korean War - are just due to :-
(1) Ideological differences (Communism vs Democracy)
(2) Political differences - Cold War mentality and which side rule
(3) Economic differences - State-Run vs Market Economy
There are no inherent hated by both Koreas - as they are of the same blood, blood brothers.
But what make them start and fight the war are the above cause by physical separation at the 38 parallel.
What antidote can help the 2 Koreas to really reconcile, stop confrontation and finally denuclearise, should be :-
(1) Emphasize people-to-people relationship, emphazie they are from the same blood, same root, same ancestorship.
(2) Emphasize both have strong desires for peace, for safety, for security.
(3) Emphasize the desires for economic development, business, investment, raise the living conditions and standard of living of the people.
(4) Establish several layers and levels of linkages, military hotline, maintain communication links -- no matter what happen - even when tension arise.
(5) Works towards real conciliation and non-confrontation - such as addressing military exercies and missiles/nuclear tests --- by downgrading the scale of exercises and reducing missile/nuclear tests --- to finally stopping them.
(6) Finally, find ways to ramp up more social contacts, more economic contacts and integration while reducing and finally eliminating military tension and confrontation.
This will be the only way to resolve the 2 Koreas Peninsula issue. Whether will the 2 Korea reunified or stay as 2 States (but a more amicable and brother state - spice with more economic integration and exchanges minus military tension) ---- will be a real positive improvement from the past tense relation.
Asia Pacific is a bedrock of "Peace, Prospeity, Business, Wealth, Prosperity".
Both Koreas must take advantage of Asia Pacific - to benefit themselves - and not spoil and poison this "Utopian" bedrock of peace and prosperity.
Like · Reply · 1m
Ricky Lim ·
Singapore
The core of the antidote is :-
“交心” - "Exchange of Heart".
The genuine desires - to improve relationship, reduce tension - and move away from the extremely unpleasant tension, confrontation - and the consequences of hardship and sufferings.
Like · Reply · 1m · Edited
Ricky Lim · Singapore
There will be hiccups and unhappiness - along the way - in forging “交心” - "Exchange of Heart" --- especially when the Winter Olympics is over - and both sides resume their past usual way of lives.
But whatever linkages, communication, hotlines and relationships - must not be broken - and let it continue ------- using “交心” - "Exchange of Heart" --- as the bedrock and strong desire to improve the relationship and avoid escalation and tension.
Both Koreas must always pull back to this focus point - “交心” - "Exchange of Heart" - whenever things are not going as smoothly.
And unhappiness and tension can be resolved.
What is important ---- is to improve, not go backward ---- which is not good for both Koreas --- as well as for Asia Pacific not to mention US.
Like · Reply · 1m
Posted on :-
01 Feb 2018 11:05AM
Ricky Lim ·
Singapore
Searching for ways to resolve Korean Peninsula confrontation and nuclear crisis. Trawl the internet on 1950s Korean war
And look through various videos of 1950s Korean war.
遇事先沉心。静中自得悟。
Noted that what cause Korean War - are just due to :-
(1) Ideological differences (Communism vs Democracy)
(2) Political differences - Cold War mentality and which side rule
(3) Economic differences - State-Run vs Market Economy
There are no inherent hated by both Koreas - as they are of the same blood, blood brothers.
But what make them start and fight the war are the above cause by physical separation at the 38 parallel.
What antidote can help the 2 Koreas to really reconcile, stop confrontation and finally denuclearise, should be :-
(1) Emphasize people-to-people relationship, emphazie they are from the same blood, same root, same ancestorship.
(2) Emphasize both have strong desires for peace, for safety, for security.
(3) Emphasize the desires for economic development, business, investment, raise the living conditions and standard of living of the people.
(4) Establish several layers and levels of linkages, military hotline, maintain communication links -- no matter what happen - even when tension arise.
(5) Works towards real conciliation and non-confrontation - such as addressing military exercies and missiles/nuclear tests --- by downgrading the scale of exercises and reducing missile/nuclear tests --- to finally stopping them.
(6) Finally, find ways to ramp up more social contacts, more economic contacts and integration while reducing and finally eliminating military tension and confrontation.
This will be the only way to resolve the 2 Koreas Peninsula issue. Whether will the 2 Korea reunified or stay as 2 States (but a more amicable and brother state - spice with more economic integration and exchanges minus military tension) ---- will be a real positive improvement from the past tense relation.
Asia Pacific is a bedrock of "Peace, Prospeity, Business, Wealth, Prosperity".
Both Koreas must take advantage of Asia Pacific - to benefit themselves - and not spoil and poison this "Utopian" bedrock of peace and prosperity.
Like · Reply · 1m
Ricky Lim ·
Singapore
The core of the antidote is :-
“交心” - "Exchange of Heart".
The genuine desires - to improve relationship, reduce tension - and move away from the extremely unpleasant tension, confrontation - and the consequences of hardship and sufferings.
Like · Reply · 1m · Edited
Ricky Lim · Singapore
There will be hiccups and unhappiness - along the way - in forging “交心” - "Exchange of Heart" --- especially when the Winter Olympics is over - and both sides resume their past usual way of lives.
But whatever linkages, communication, hotlines and relationships - must not be broken - and let it continue ------- using “交心” - "Exchange of Heart" --- as the bedrock and strong desire to improve the relationship and avoid escalation and tension.
Both Koreas must always pull back to this focus point - “交心” - "Exchange of Heart" - whenever things are not going as smoothly.
And unhappiness and tension can be resolved.
What is important ---- is to improve, not go backward ---- which is not good for both Koreas --- as well as for Asia Pacific not to mention US.
Like · Reply · 1m
Like · Reply · 1m
Ricky Lim ·
The fateful day -- posting hours before N Korea Kim announce he will talk to S Korea.
You are wrong to say i advocate warmongering.
On the contrary, it is to stop any war breaking out - and to resolve Korean Peninsula peacefully.
Posted on :-
01 Jan 2018 04:55AM
Lance Long ·
National University of Singapore
Serious, just go to war n destroy NK. Most of the country will fight against NK. CHINA AND RUSSIA can't help. The war will just last less then 3 month.
Like · Reply · 1 · 11h
Ricky Lim ·
Singapore
The nuclear radiation will spread 3,000 km wide.
A large part of SE Asia, China, Russia and East Asia will be contaminated by nuclear contamination.
Think before you speak.
Like · Reply · 1m
Lance Long ·
National University of Singapore
Ricky Lim we need to act b4 it get serious. The world should destroy NK now. Their getting more and more dangerous as the time pass. pp like you that alway think think think without any action is the worst.
Like · Reply · 32m
Ricky Lim ·
Singapore
Lance Long -
US acted to bomb Iraq because of some misinformation about nuclear.
ISIS caliphate is created - and no nuclear is found.
US acted on Libya - and again no nuclear is found.
ISIS also gain a foothold in Middle East.
Now you want a peaceful Asia Pacific - to be turned into a 2nd Middle East?
Like · Reply · 1m
Adrian Lee
It's is precisely because of this fact that the world must destroy NK before he further enhance his nuclear capabilities which would bring even more disasters to the whole world
🌍
Like · Reply · 13m
Ricky Lim ·
Singapore
A war is never declared without understand the implication and its consequences.
It is never a military impact - not mention millions of human death.
There will also be an economic impact ---- when so many Countries will be drag into it.
China the 2nd largest Economy.
Japan the 3rd largest Economy.
S Korea the 11th largest Economy.
US the largest Economy.
Declaring war in Asia Pacific - has a Global Economic impact - that will affect the World.
N Korea million of refugees will run all over the place - posing a great social impact - like Sytrian refugees that swarm the Europe.
Like · Reply · 1m
Ricky Lim ·
Singapore
Similarly, N Korea will also understand the mililtary impact, economic impact and social impact unto itself currently.
N Korea understand its nuclear program has take a heavy toll on N Korea economy, poverty, hardship and the social impact unto itself.
So why and what is the hurry to start a macabath war when you all don't understand its consequences?
Like · Reply · 1m
Ricky Lim · Singapore
It is a game of "who break first" vs "who blink first".
And you guys are suggesting "who blink first" - which will be catastrophe.
Like · Reply · 1m
You are wrong to say i advocate warmongering.
On the contrary, it is to stop any war breaking out - and to resolve Korean Peninsula peacefully.
Posted on :-
01 Jan 2018 04:55AM
Lance Long ·
National University of Singapore
Serious, just go to war n destroy NK. Most of the country will fight against NK. CHINA AND RUSSIA can't help. The war will just last less then 3 month.
Like · Reply · 1 · 11h
Ricky Lim ·
Singapore
The nuclear radiation will spread 3,000 km wide.
A large part of SE Asia, China, Russia and East Asia will be contaminated by nuclear contamination.
Think before you speak.
Like · Reply · 1m
Lance Long ·
National University of Singapore
Ricky Lim we need to act b4 it get serious. The world should destroy NK now. Their getting more and more dangerous as the time pass. pp like you that alway think think think without any action is the worst.
Like · Reply · 32m
Ricky Lim ·
Singapore
Lance Long -
US acted to bomb Iraq because of some misinformation about nuclear.
ISIS caliphate is created - and no nuclear is found.
US acted on Libya - and again no nuclear is found.
ISIS also gain a foothold in Middle East.
Now you want a peaceful Asia Pacific - to be turned into a 2nd Middle East?
Like · Reply · 1m
Adrian Lee
It's is precisely because of this fact that the world must destroy NK before he further enhance his nuclear capabilities which would bring even more disasters to the whole world
🌍Like · Reply · 13m
Ricky Lim ·
Singapore
A war is never declared without understand the implication and its consequences.
It is never a military impact - not mention millions of human death.
There will also be an economic impact ---- when so many Countries will be drag into it.
China the 2nd largest Economy.
Japan the 3rd largest Economy.
S Korea the 11th largest Economy.
US the largest Economy.
Declaring war in Asia Pacific - has a Global Economic impact - that will affect the World.
N Korea million of refugees will run all over the place - posing a great social impact - like Sytrian refugees that swarm the Europe.
Like · Reply · 1m
Ricky Lim ·
Singapore
Similarly, N Korea will also understand the mililtary impact, economic impact and social impact unto itself currently.
N Korea understand its nuclear program has take a heavy toll on N Korea economy, poverty, hardship and the social impact unto itself.
So why and what is the hurry to start a macabath war when you all don't understand its consequences?
Like · Reply · 1m
Ricky Lim · Singapore
It is a game of "who break first" vs "who blink first".
And you guys are suggesting "who blink first" - which will be catastrophe.
Like · Reply · 1m
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