Tuesday, November 22, 2016

This is What President Trump Means for Singapore

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  • Most US companies in Singapore are coming here to sell their products and services here as well as the region. 
  • If they pull back to US with no US companies here - they will will not be able to sell their products and services here and into the region. 
  • In total, they are selling close to US$31 billion of products and services just in Singapore market alone.
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    • Eg. IBM, Cisco, Symantec, Microsoft, VMware, Google, Yahoo etc set up their companies in Singapore because they want to sell their IT products, services to the Singapore customers. 
    • If these companies don't set up their offices here, how do they sell their products and services to the Singapore customers? 
    • Eg. McDonald, KFC, Burger King etc set up their F&B shops here because they want to sell their food and beverages to the Singapore customers. 
    • If these companies don't set up their F&B here, how do they sell their products and services to the Singapore customers? 
    • Eg. Citibank, BOA, JP Morgan, AIA etc set up their offshore banks and insurance services here so that they can offer banking and insurance services to the Singapore customers? 
    • If these banks don't set up their offices here, how do they sell their products and services to the Singapore customers?
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      • If the US companies are not close to the source of the customers, how to sell their products and services? 
      • So if US companies are not in Singapore, how to sell to Singapore customers?
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        • they can still set up shop here without TPP, that's what is happening for a long time.
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          • Yes without TPP they can still set up shops here. But with RCEP, RCEP members will be more competitive due to zero tariff, privileged access, unrestricted market. 

          • So RCEP members will win more.
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          • Eg. i will prefer to buy Australia and New Zealand beef and steak than US beef and steak as they will be cheaper. 
          • I will prefer to buy China Fujian apples or Fuji apples than California apples as they will be cheaper. I will prefer to buy Huawei, Xiaomi, Samsung, LG than iPhone or Pixel or Microsoft phones. 
          • I will prefer to buy Lenovo, Fujitsu, Acer notebook etc than HP notebooks. 
          • I will prefer to buy Huawei, Fujitsu, Hitachi IT products than US IT products. etc

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