Thursday, November 30, 2017

US Congress urged to extend government spending to avert shutdown
Read more at http://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/world/us-congress-urged-to-extend-government-spending-to-avert-9457156

 (Updated: )

Ricky Lim · 

The talks are shaping up to be a showdown between Republicans, under President Donald Trump, and opposition Democrats, who could stall the bill's progress in the Senate.
Pressure swelled on both parties earlier this week, when Trump tweeted that he did not envision a deal being made with Democrats, whom he described as "weak" on immigration, crime and taxes.
Democratic leaders promptly backed out of a long-scheduled White House meeting with the president, saying they would focus instead on negotiating with tvheir Republican counterparts in Congress.

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Posted on :- 30 Nov 2017

It is thus important to watch out for Trump's "Boom and Bust" budget, fiscal policies (or his "Economic Yo-Yo" policies) - that artificially inflate economic growth (causing a spiking "Boom" for immediate gratification to his voters --- but will cause a sharp correction in the near term causing a sharp downturn correction - a "Bust" --- that will cause US recession --- and have the impact of pulling down the World Economy --- triggering a World Recession --- like in the past.
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Ricky Lim · Singapore
Thus Trump enticing US Congress that has just passed his "Boom and Bust or Yo-Yo" budget policies - must be defeated in the Senate --- and look like it is on the verge of being defeated.

US Senate must stop the irresponsible fiscal budget and pass a responsible budget - for the sake of US and the World that has tight integration with US.
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Ricky Lim · 

Trump "Boom and Bust” budget that will trigger medium term US recession and World recession defeated.

Democrat leaders refuse talk with Trump and White House but instead negotiate directly with Republican leaders.

Live demo of how social media can shape 1 national event and 1 world event and transform tche world virtually.

人法地。地法天。天法道。道法自然。
宇宙万法唯心造。善果因缘生。恶果因缘灭。
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Ricky Lim · 
Ricky Lim ·
Singapore
Ronald Reagan economic policies - start the accumulation of massive debt for US.
"Reagan has tripled the Gross Federal Debt, from $900 billion to $2.7 trillion."

As of July 31 2017, the federal government’s total debt stands at $19.845 trillion. The nation’s debt is now bigger than its gross domestic product, which was an estimated $19.23 trillion.
Net interest payments on the debt are estimated to total $276.2 billion this fiscal year.

This is known as the "Boom and Bust" fiscal policies and financial policies - to reap immediate gratification to please the voters by "inflating economic growth" - but bring economic bust a few years down the road.

The world has experience cyclic "boom and bust" - because of such policies.

Now Trump want to emulate this irresponsible policies - and you say this is good.

Clinton and Obmama --- are the one that have implemented prudent and pragmatic economic policies - not Trump.
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Ricky Lim ·
Singapore
Ricky Lim ·
Singapore
Is Trump creating conditions for US to experience another Lehman Brothers collapse in the US financial sector?

The World financial system must be careful in investing in funds coming out from US - or else get caught in the Lehman Brothers 2 saga.
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Ricky Lim ·
Singapore
Trump drastic cuts in taxes, and boosting rampant spendings - is creating a ballooning fiscal deficit --- and increasing debts for US - and its future generation will have a hard time servicing the debt.

Together with this banking regulation - Trump is creating a condition for financial crisis or meltdown of the past.

Trump don't seems to care about the future - and bend on immeditate gratification.

World Economy and finacial institutions must be careful and watchful of what will come out from Trump financial and fiscal policies --- and not let it drag down in a domino effect of the past.
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Ricky Lim ·
Singapore
Trump don't seems to learn from the lesson of the past - or rather he is indifferent - because it will not affect him now.
The problem will surface later - where he may not even be around - and he couldn't care less.
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Ricky Lim ·
Singapore
In the past, financial crisis one after another is trigger by such policies - and has recently been ratified and regulation put in place - to prevent such cyclic eruption of financial crisis - after a few years - when it bust after boom.

Now Trump want ot reintroduce this "boom and bust" policies again - and stir the World financial system.
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ricky l
ricky l 2 seconds ago
Wonder how can a Country sustain trillion dollars of debt and need to service hundred and billions dollars of debt interest?

Will the Country even able to repay the debt?

Wonder by deregulating the banking sector, will banks and financial institutions again resort to risky investment and put all the investors and depositors money into big risk of default and run-on bank again.
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Ricky Lim ·
Singapore
Trump obviously have forgotten or try to forget the lessons learn from US past finanical crisis :-
(1) US taxpayers money of hundred and hundred billions of dollars are used to prop up US banks and finanical institutions like BOA, JP Morgan, Citibank, AIA, etc - when financial crisis hit from its sub-prime investments in toxic assets. ----- Now Trump want to dismantle the banking regulation - to protect its financial industries.

(2) US Treasury have to borrow trillions of dollars by selling bonds to China, Japan, Saudi - to fund its massive budget deficit. --- Now Trump want to cut its tax in huge percentage, boost its spendings and balloon its debt and widen its budget deficit.

(3) US Treasury have to pump prime its Economy ---- by printing US dollars to repay its debt. ----- Now Trump think that he can do this again if US Economy go into "cyclic boom and bust" cycle --- with Trump risky policies - for immediate gratification but no regards for the future US generations.

--- Can the World not be careful and watchful on what Trump try to do --- and trigger a domino effect on the World financial system in the near future?
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Ricky Lim ·
Singapore
Analyst have computed that if Trump implement all his economic policies including his wall of America - it will add another $5 trillion debt to the $19.845 trillion in Trump short term in office.

And you say that Trump policies is damn good - or damn goon?

Wait till his children, grandchildren and descendants pay the massive debt accumulated by him for US.
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Ricky Lim · Singapore
Greece have to bite the bullet, go through extreme austerity -- to pay back its huge debt and emerge from near bankruptcy.

US with such unprecedented massive debt --- can do better?
And you now say what Trump is doing is "damn good"?
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Ricky Lim · 
Ricky Lim ·
Singapore
See this to learn a good lesson - about a good fundamental economic principles :-

Greece blows EU-IMF bailout targets away with strong budget performance

Reuters
By Lefteris Papadimas and George Georgiopoulos
ReutersApril 21, 2017
ricky l 10 seconds ago
The prudent fiscal budget - to ensure a balance budget - that have led to correction of the debt problem with belt tightening measures and a few years of pain --- maybe the correct move.

For now on, Greece must be prudent in ensuring sustainable fiscal policy and growth generation policy that are sustainable.
ricky l
Reply 00
ricky l 29 seconds ago
Posted on :-
Feb 1, 2015 9:08 PM

Ricky Lim · Singapore
There are few things need to be put right :-
(1) Economic fundamental must be put right first - and thereafter create employment. If economic fundamental is not on sound footing - all patch work will just be a temporary patch and does not build a strong foundation for economic growth. Right economic fundamental - refer to right fiscal policies, right monetary policies, right investment policies, right balance of payment etc.

(2) Corruption must be eliminated - to have sound financial system

(3) Debt must be honored - and if have problem paying back - should restructured the debt for longer term repayment. Otherwise, no one will provide further loan if debt can be dishonoured.

(4) Can consider pledging something of value to creditors - like carve out a piece of land as collateral to creditor for say 100 year for creditors to invest in - until loan is repaid or to get further loan - until the country has successfully repay all the debt, get the economic fundamental in place and create sufficient employment for its citizen.
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ricky l00
ricky l 9 seconds ago
Critics in the last few years criticise the above suggestions - has caused undue miseries to Greece and kill Greece economic growth and kill job creation.

Now the above suggestions turned out to be the right things to do.

What is right in the micro-level - also means that it is right for the macro-level.

Prudent fiscal policies with the objectives to create growth and job creation is the right way to go.
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ricky l00
ricky l 29 seconds ago
Rampant Spending tommorow's money and leave the burden to future generations and descendants to pick up the bits = are wrong.

Rampant Spending based on big borrowing, heavy debts (especially external debts) = are wrong.

Rampant Spending with no objective of investing into the future = are wrong.

Rampant Spending based on over-generous welfare benefits that are not sustainable and do not encourage working = are wrong.
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00
ricky l
ricky l 9 seconds ago
Well done Greece !

You have make it !

00
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Ministry of Health to introduce fee benchmarks for medical procedures
Read more at http://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/singapore/ministry-of-health-to-introduce-fee-benchmarks-for-medical-9455528

 (Updated: )
Ricky Lim · 
Ministry of Health - well done !
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Wednesday, November 29, 2017

Job market to improve in 2018, but wages not expected to increase rapidly: MAS

With expectations of higher interest rates ahead, households should continue to stay financially prudent, said Singapore’s central bank in its latest annual review of financial stability.
Read more at http://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/singapore/job-market-to-improve-in-2018-but-wages-not-expected-to-increase-9454194
 (Updated: )

Ricky Lim · 
While gradual monetary policy normalisation in developed markets remain supportive of global growth, accommodative financial conditions have also facilitated financial excesses amid persistent search for yield. This raises the risk of disruptive corrections when the excesses are unwound, MAS wrote.
MAS also sounded a warning on geopolitical risks and unexpected policy shifts in advanced economies that may trigger a market correction and increased risk aversion, with correlated pullbacks from emerging markets.
These could derail global growth, it wrote in its annual report on Singapore's financial health.

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It is thus important to watch out for Trump's "Boom and Bust" budget, fiscal policies (or his "Economic Yo-Yo" policies) - that artificially inflate economic growth (causing a spiking "Boom" for immediate gratification to his voters --- but will cause a sharp correction in the near term causing a sharp downturn correction - a "Bust" --- that will cause US recession --- and have the impact of pulling down the World Economy --- triggering a World Recession --- like in the past.
LikeReply3 mins
Ricky Lim · 
Thus Trump enticing US Congress that has just passed his "Boom and Bust or Yo-Yo" budget policies - must be defeated in the Senate --- and look like it is on the verge of being defeated.

US Senate must stop the irresponsible fiscal budget and pass a responsible budget - for the sake of US and the World that has tight integration with US.
LikeReplyJust now

Tuesday, November 28, 2017

SMRT to enhance mobile app to provide real-time travel information
Read more at http://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/singapore/smrt-to-enhance-mobile-app-to-provide-real-time-travel-9450044

ile photo of the crowd at Queenstown MRT station on the East-West Line.
Ricky Lim · 
Posted on :-

16 Nov 2017 07:52AM (Updated: 16 Nov 2017 12:47PM)

Ricky Lim ·
Singapore
Few neasures here may help to mitigate and minimise MRT disruptions and safety :-
(1) Failsafe, failsoft mechanism - eg, if signaling software fail, hardware eg. IoT take over - if not human backup must be able to manual override and take over if signaling software fail.
(2) Redundant lines - to be able to shut down the whole line for maintenance, repair and fail over to redundant line eg, the up and coming redundant thomson line from Changi, Ang Mo Kio to Jurong (NUS, NTU, SP, NP, UniSim, One-North, Science Park) ---- will alleviate and provide redundant to the Green line (East-West line) and Red line (Ang Mo Kio line to Jurong East).
(3) Improve work culture and morale of staff - demoralise staff will not put in extra effort to make the system work or improve the system.
(4) Parallel bus system (that run along the MRT station) - able to beef up during MRT disruption
(5) Proactive, predictive, reactive maintenance - to upgrade and improve the parts that are 20 to 30 years old.
(6) Realtime information dispensement to inform public - that eg. "A" line is unavailable for servicing and move over to "B" line. (This is the same as London tube - where one line is taken down for servicing, a parallel line is activated to serve public. And if both lines are down, bus system that ply the MRT stations are activated). --- 3 redundant public transport system in place. If to be more kiasu, activate PMD, hire-bicycle also put in place - for those who are adventurous to rely on during disruptions.
Make this a standard modus operandi that public will take it as natural course.
---- All mechanical things, or software, or hardware, or system --- will fail some point in time - and need maintenance, servicing, repair.
----- The key is there will be a failsafe alternative, failsoft mechanism to mitigate, redundant system to seamlessly or close to seamless take over of main line if fail.
eg. car will fail on the road and need maintenance.
air con will fail and need maintenance.
computer system will fail, and need redundant system to take over.
etc etc.
Make public understand this.
人法地, 地法天, 天法道,道法自然。
万法唯心起。
This is the Universal Law of Impermanence.
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SMRT to enhance mobile app to provide real-time travel information

image: data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAAAAACH5BAEKAAEALAAAAAABAAEAAAICTAEAOw==
File photo of the crowd at Queenstown MRT station on the East-West Line.
SINGAPORE: By September next year, commuters on SMRT trains will be able to see train arrival timings updated in real-time to include the recovery time while rail engineers fix faults, the train operator said.
In a Facebook post on Tuesday (Nov 28), SMRT said the enhancements to its SMRTConnect Mobile app will be rolled out in three phases starting next month. 
The new real-time information system will have train arrival timings that include the time required for SMRT's rail engineers to fix faults and recover service, as well as crowd levels at station platforms.
Commuters will also be able to see how many trains they may have to wait for before they can board and, at a later phase, which station platform doors they can wait at to get into a less crowded carriage, SMRT added.
The train operator said it will be tapping on real-time information such as fare gate data, Wi-Fi access points, train capacity data and closed-circuit television feeds to gather more accurate information on crowd levels. 
There have been a number of train disruptions in November that were not highlighted by SMRT on its social media channels, prompting criticism from some commuters about the lack of real-time information.
A check by Channel NewsAsia last week revealed about five incidents during the month involving train delays or track faults that were highlighted by commuters and reported by the media, but not announced on SMRT’s social media platforms.
Source: CNA/mz
Read more at http://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/singapore/smrt-to-enhance-mobile-app-to-provide-real-time-travel-9450044

Commentary: What do we expect NTUC to do for PMEs?

With NTUC updating its constitution to cover PMEs, NTU’s Professor Chew Soon Beng discusses the benefits the move offers.
Read more at http://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/commentary/commentary-ntuc-pmes-employment-support-disruption-9446438
 (Updated: )

Ricky Lim · 
This is an insightful article.

Currently displaced PMEs are facing difficulties as described in this article.
Reaching out to this displaced PMEs and reinfusing them back into the PME workforce is still a problem.
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Commentary: What do we expect NTUC to do for PMEs?

With NTUC updating its constitution to cover PMEs, NTU’s Professor Chew Soon Beng discusses the benefits the move offers.
image: data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAAAAACH5BAEKAAEALAAAAAABAAEAAAICTAEAOw==
How will NTUC support PMEs? (Photo: AFP/Roslan Rahman)
SINGAPORE: The National Trades Union Congress (NTUC), Singapore’s labour movement, is a social organisation.
As the term implies, the labour movement as a social movement is all-encompassing and aims to represent and benefit each and every citizen. There are various social campaigns in Singapore such as the Speak Mandarin Campaign or the campaign to promote Graciousness in Singapore.
NTUC is distinctly different from all these social campaigns in two ways: First, NTUC is a fee-paying organisation. To be a union member, workers have to pay a monthly fee.
To understand why NTUC charges a fee, one has to understand its goals and dynamics.
The nature of the labour movement is such that it is imperative for NTUC to have a strong base of union members. If NTUC has a small membership base, it will not have enough bargaining power to rally workers to improve productivity and exercise wage constraint in exchange for continued employment during a recession.
This need for a strong membership base creates a dilemma for NTUC. As a social movement by design and by implication, NTUC produces a public good – better employment conditions for workers and employment stability for employers. But because of its public good nature, NTUC needs to provide exclusive financial incentives for its union members to get their buy-in on tough measures.
These exclusive financial incentives are the union benefits that NTUC has the sole power to bestow on members without relying on employers. These union benefits may be likened to country club benefits - joining NTUC is like joining a country club.
NTUC needs substantial financial resources in order to provide country club benefits sufficiently significant to sway workers to join the labour movement.
The Government is more than willing to help NTUC to provide such country club benefits because NTUC helps the Government to achieve full employment.
The close relationship between the NTUC and the Government has the support of a strong foundation because the leaders of both the labour movement and the Government come from the same political party.
NATIONAL VERSUS LABOUR INTERESTS
The second way NTUC differs from other social movements is that it puts national interests above its own narrow labour interests.
If you do a Google search of the term “corporate social responsibility” (CSR), you will learn that a firm's implementation of CSR goes beyond compliance and statutory requirements. A firm which engages in CSR engages in “actions that appear to further some social good, beyond the interests of the firm.”
In my writing, I have started using the phrase “union social responsibility” to describe the Singapore labour movement because NTUC puts the national interest above its need to attract workers to join the Union. NTUC has enjoyed substantial success as a social organisation and, at the same time, rising union membership because NTUC has played her cards well and has not politicised labour issues.
image: data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAAAAACH5BAEKAAEALAAAAAABAAEAAAICTAEAOw==
The Union of Security Employees, an affiliate of NTUC representing those employed in the security and security related services, was formed in 1978.
NTUC, with the assistance from the Government, has been able to help low-wage workers benefit from higher wages and help Singaporeans with little educational qualifications to get jobs. But these are low-hanging fruits, which are relatively easy to pluck.
This is because NTUC has some form of monopoly power over some contractors in some sectors to enforce a minimum salary for workers, such as the cleaning industry. It has protected this group of workers against low pay because it is an efficient organisation and a social movement with strong support from both the government and the employers.
This kind of tripartism can easily produce good results as all three parties have non-conflicting goals.
COVERING PROFESSIONALS, MANAGERS AND EXPERTS
Technological developments in recent years have led to disruptions that cause many PMEs to lose their jobs. These PMEs need assistance – but they are more educated than workers that NTUC already covers, and their high paying jobs are not around anymore.
As per its mission, NTUC will work tirelessly to extend the same assistance to help PMEs to be employable. But there is a big difference compared to the case of the cleaners.
To enhance PMEs’ employability, we need to train and re-train them. But – as detailed in the discussions of job market squeeze these days – it is not easy to figure out what are the skills needed to make PMEs employable. The Government solves this problem by contracting training institutes to reimburse the training fees when their trainees are employed.
In tandem, NTUC works with established industry partners to promote industry acceptance of various training initiatives to increase trainees’ employability.
This task of skills-matching and negotiating with employers, employees and training institutes is made all the more difficult as technology is changing and there is little margin to protect PMEs from foreign competition.
image: data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAAAAACH5BAEKAAEALAAAAAABAAEAAAICTAEAOw==
The U PME Centres were set up by NTUC in 2014 to provide PMEs with workplace, career and professional development advisory services.
NTUC also encourages PMEs to find work abroad. Again, the right kind of training is necessary to acquire appropriate new skills in this context. NTUC can add value to this social mission because some PMEs can relate better to the labour movement than to the Government or to employers. 
PMEs who especially need assistance now are those who cannot compete with their peers in more productive, innovative firms or are in industries that have been disrupted significantly. Where average wages rise, these PMEs do not get a share of the gains but fall behind.
NTUC need to help these PMEs find jobs, not because they are union members but because NTUC takes union social responsibility in its stride.
PMEs who find new jobs find that their new pay is lower than their initial salary because they have to “downgrade” in their career moves. Skillsets from one company to another aren’t 100 per cent transferable, especially if one changes sector, with lower wages arising as a consequence.
Worse, downgrading may not be a one-time occurrence but a continuous process given that PMEs change jobs every few years and mid-career switches are commonplace. Preventing this downgrading from becoming a continuous process will be a key challenge for NTUC.
I believe that the labour movement can also strengthen its efforts to protect PMEs from unfair employment practices. Some employers and some top executives may have a preference for foreign executives not because the unit labour cost is lower for these foreigners – and sometimes it is even higher – but because of personal preference.
The policy of looking for local employees first for the first two weeks before they are allowed to employ foreigners should be rigorously enforced.  
So it seems NTUC has its work on PMEs cut out. Whatever the initial reason for NTUC to broaden its coverage, it has a tough road ahead in meeting this new mandate.
Chew Soon Beng is professor of economics and industrial relations at Nanyang Technological University.
Source: CNA/sl
Read more at http://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/commentary/commentary-ntuc-pmes-employment-support-disruption-9446438