REACH 322 - What are your views on the war between Russia and Ukraine? How do you think Singapore will be impacted by the ongoing war? (SK)
28 Feb 2022 (10am - 7pm)
REACH
[10:46 am, 28/02/2022] +REACH: Dear Contributors,
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[10:48 am, 28/02/2022] +REACH: π’ Topic π’
After Russia’s invasion of Ukraine began on Thursday morning (Feb 24) with attacks by land, sea and air, stakes rose rapidly on Sunday (Feb 27) in Europe's biggest conflict since World War II after President Vladimir Putin put Russia's nuclear forces on high alert, an act that the United States termed an unacceptable escalation.
π¬ What are your views on the war between Russia and Ukraine? How do you think Singapore will be impacted by the ongoing war?
Ukraine’s capital city Kyiv and other cities - Kharkiv, Kramatorsk, Dnipro and Odessa - are some of the locations to have been hit by the Russian military so far.
Western governments have responded with sanctions against Russian banks and state-owned enterprises, and the United Nations Security Council will vote on Friday (Feb 25) on a draft resolution condemning Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and demanding a withdrawal of its troops.
How Singaporeans could be affected
πHigher food inflation
Analysts have cautioned that developments in Ukraine could impact the outlook for inflation, and prices of food staples such as wheat and corn could rise sharply.
πHigher energy prices
With Europe heavily reliant on Russian gas transiting through Ukraine - Russia provides Europe with around 40 per cent of its natural gas supply - the energy markets may also be hit.
πHigher pump prices
Russia is the second-largest oil exporter after Saudi Arabia, shipping about five million barrels of crude oil per day.
πSupply chain disruption and further inflation risks
Escalating tensions and sanctions could also result in energy supply disruptions and potentially hamper the already burdened supply chains further, contributing to further inflation risks.
ππ»https://www.straitstimes.com/world/europe/putin-puts-russias-nuclear-forces-on-high-alert-us-calls-move-unacceptable
ππ»https://www.straitstimes.com/multimedia/graphics/2022/02/russia-ukraine-crisis/index.html?shell
ππ»https://www.straitstimes.com/business/rising-prices-and-volatility-how-the-ukraine-crisis-could-impact-singaporeans
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[11:03 am, 28/02/2022] +BL: π¬ What are your views on the war between Russia and Ukraine? How do you think Singapore will be impacted by the ongoing war?
: Sad and Depressing. Russia should be isolated from the World. Whilst I understand the history and frustration from Russia about the West, it's totally unjustifiable to invade. Right now I don't see Singapore being adversely affected anymore than any other country, perhaps less, providing it doesn't escalate and China gets involved.
[11:03 am, 28/02/2022] +Rama: Time will tell soon enough
[11:05 am, 28/02/2022] +Rama: For those who ask: “Why does Ukraine matter?”
This is why Ukraine matters:
It is the second-largest country by area in Europe by area and has a population of over 40 million - more than Poland.
Ukraine ranks:
π 1st in Europe in proven recoverable reserves of uranium ores;
π2nd place in Europe and 10th place in the world in terms of titanium ore reserves;
π2nd place in the world in terms of explored reserves of manganese ores (2.3 billion tons, or 12% of the world's reserves);
π2nd largest iron ore reserves in the world (30 billion tons);
π2nd place in Europe in terms of mercury ore reserves;
π3rd place in Europe (13th place in the world) in shale gas reserves (22 trillion cubic meters)
π4th in the world by the total value of natural resources;
π7th place in the world in coal reserves (33.9 billion tons)
Ukraine is an important agricultural country:
π1st in Europe in terms of arable land area;
π3rd place in the world by the area of black soil (25% of world's volume);
π1st place in the world in exports of sunflower and sunflower oil;
π2nd place in the world in barley production and 4th place in barley exports;
π3rd largest producer and 4th largest exporter of corn in the world;
π4th largest producer of potatoes in the world;
π5th largest rye producer in the world;
π5th place in the world in bee production (75,000 tons);
π8th place in the world in wheat exports;
π9th place in the world in the production of chicken eggs;
π16th place in the world in cheese exports.
Ukraine can meet the food needs of 600 million people.
Ukraine is an important industrialized country:
π1st in Europe in ammonia production;
Europe's 2nd’s and the world’s 4th largest natural gas pipeline system;
π3rd largest in Europe and 8th largest in the world in terms of installed capacity of nuclear power plants;
π3rd place in Europe and 11th in the world in terms of rail network length (21,700 km);
π3rd place in the world (after the U.S. and France) in production of locators and locating equipment;
π3rd largest iron exporter in the world
π4th largest exporter of turbines for nuclear power plants in the world;
π4th world's largest manufacturer of rocket launchers;
π4th place in the world in clay exports
π4th place in the world in titanium exports
π8th place in the world in exports of ores and concentrates;
π9th place in the world in exports of defense industry products;
π10th largest steel producer in the world (32.4 million tons).
That is why its independence is important to the rest of the world.
[11:05 am, 28/02/2022] ☸️ Danny εΏ:
World war 1 and 2 started from Europe.
Hopefully, this Russia and Ukraine will not escalated into ww3.
[11:07 am, 28/02/2022] +Uncle Law: This conflict will indirectly impact us in terms of further rising cost of essential items and supply chain.
[11:07 am, 28/02/2022] +Rama: Don't discount the possibility
[11:08 am, 28/02/2022] +Rama: According to the Budapest Memorandum and other agreements, Ukraine has no borders - The state of Ukraine does not exist (and has never existed!) - Alexander Panin
https://www.simonparkes.org/post/ukrainian-is-a-part-of-russia-meaning-russia-can-enter-at-any-time
[11:10 am, 28/02/2022] ☸️ Danny εΏ:
Russia has reminiscent of past glory of USSR. And warn of military consequences if Finland and Sweden join NATO.
The president is even threatening nuclear the moment the West impose Swift sanctions on Russia - the financial nuclear option.
So cannot underestimate what a hurt and cornered strongman with nuclear arsenal can do.
[11:12 am, 28/02/2022] ☸️ Danny εΏ: https://www.channelnewsasia.com/commentary/ukraine-invasion-vladimir-putin-zelenskyy-nato-anger-2522976 Russian President Vladimir Putin's resentment of the West and fixation on Ukraine has made him more aggressive and unpredictable than ever, says the Financial Times' Max Seddon.
[11:12 am, 28/02/2022] ☸️ Danny εΏ:
https://malaysia.news.yahoo.com/finland-sweden-brush-off-moscows-133243866.html?guce_referrer=aHR0cHM6Ly9tYWxheXNpYS5uZXdzLnlhaG9vLmNvbS9jb3ZpZC0xOS1ob25nLWtvbmctY2VsZWJyaXRpZXMtMDYxNTA1NDQ3Lmh0bWw_Z3VjY291bnRlcj0x&guce_referrer_sig=AQAAAEVowo0zd0vqlvn5an_fEVVZA0drjdGfPZWGhijh8g-KaNVxC4K5HTMI4X25HR-pxITL1ucJViXTKjHfT2EogScMxyN26e8rfWAwm0yRVx10k0IO4nONuUcDQF7fVn1pP3bEfDA8brawHDykylTYsTtSrpplUgd1BbfrOQWEZgOx Finland, Sweden brush off Moscow's warning on joining NATO.
[11:12 am, 28/02/2022] +jimmy chew: Unless some countries want to revert to historical conquest π€£
[11:12 am, 28/02/2022] +jimmy chew: Will we stay and fight?
[11:17 am, 28/02/2022] ☸️ Danny εΏ:
To tackle higher energy price, we need to go solar energy using solar panels quickly for housing units - public and private housing - at least to rely less on imported fuel, oil and gas.
[11:18 am, 28/02/2022] ☸️ Danny εΏ:
Sun is an infinite free energy sources.
[11:18 am, 28/02/2022] +RH: Tks for the summary, which does increase my knowledge & understanding abt Ukraine.
So, this war was started under a diff pretext and guise.
Just using excuses to take control of more resources and power for Russia.
I was brought up thinking tt the United Nations was set up to prevent WW3. ...
So, where r they now and wat r they doing abt this?
Too busy fighting CoVid ?
[11:19 am, 28/02/2022] +RH: They shd not hv disbanded the USSR ...
which was formed to prevent things like this forced annexation from happening.
[11:20 am, 28/02/2022] +RH: Is history gg to repeat itself?
[11:21 am, 28/02/2022] +BL: ?? https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/1/25/five-things-to-know-about-russia-ukraine-tensions
[11:23 am, 28/02/2022] +BL: Regardless of the talking, and posturing on each side, there is no excuse for invasion, firing missiles and sending in tanks.
[11:25 am, 28/02/2022] +RH: Can't read yr article without agreeing to allow cookies....
[11:26 am, 28/02/2022] +Rama: Possibly
[11:26 am, 28/02/2022] +BL: ok, odd.
[11:28 am, 28/02/2022] +Rama: https://www.indiatoday.in/news-analysis/story/russia-ukraine-war-news-saint-vladimir-religious-angle-invasion-ukraine-1917721-2022-02-25
[0:00 pm, 28/02/2022] +Uncle Law: https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2022/02/27/russia-ukraine-war-kyiv-news/
[0:06 pm, 28/02/2022] +Smiley face: Top scientists and top brains too!
[0:28 pm, 28/02/2022] ☸️ Danny εΏ: https://www.channelnewsasia.com/world/ukraine-calls-putins-order-put-nuclear-forces-alert-pressure-tactic-2523641
Ukraine calls Putin's order to put nuclear forces on alert a pressure tactic.
Russia military face fierce resistance and setback - trigger nuclear threat.
[0:30 pm, 28/02/2022] +Rama: And they are offering a suitable location for a possible peace talk!?
[0:37 pm, 28/02/2022] ☸️ Danny εΏ:
Russia to seize foreigners' funds in retaliation of SWIFT ban -RIA. https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/russia-seize-foreigners-funds-retaliation-ria-2022-02-26/
[0:37 pm, 28/02/2022] +Rama: Not surprising
[0:37 pm, 28/02/2022] ☸️ Danny εΏ:
Wonder did Singapore firm invest in Russia or not.
[0:38 pm, 28/02/2022] +Rama: Is our state funds exposed to seizure!?
[0:42 pm, 28/02/2022] ☸️ Danny εΏ: π€·
[0:44 pm, 28/02/2022] +Rama: Expect our local business funds to get affected though
[0:48 pm, 28/02/2022] +65 9740 5395: I have been following Ix Shen's account in Ukraine war via CNA. The majority on CNA facebook worried for Ix's safety and asked him to leave the country. It got me to think that if Singapore is under attack, who will stay behind to defend?
[0:48 pm, 28/02/2022] +REACH: S'pore will impose export controls on items that can be used as weapons in Ukraine: Vivian Balakrishnan
More: https://str.sg/wsTH
[0:49 pm, 28/02/2022] ☸️ Danny εΏ:
If we only condemn the invasion, I think we are still ok.
As long as we don't take part in the Swift sanctions.
Indonesia condemn but will not take part in the sanction.
[0:49 pm, 28/02/2022] +Rama: Exactly!
[0:50 pm, 28/02/2022] +Rama: Our government has to weigh consequences
[0:50 pm, 28/02/2022] +Rama: Good start
[0:51 pm, 28/02/2022] +JC: Saddened and fearful of the immense sufferings to Ukrainians once Russia gets pushed to a corner. I would be very (and pleasantly) surprised if what we saw so far is the full extent of Russian military force.
As for SG - we need to fully denounce Russia's act of aggression given the importance of the international world order to a small state like SG.
[0:51 pm, 28/02/2022] +Rama: Believe our government has publicly made known our position
[0:52 pm, 28/02/2022] +JC: π
[1:01 pm, 28/02/2022] ☸️ Danny εΏ:
https://www.rikvin.com/blog/russia-closer-business-ties-singapore/
Russia Seeks Closer Business Ties with Singapore Companies.
I believe some Singapore business in Russia will be impacted.
[1:04 pm, 28/02/2022] +Smiley face: Who is Gorbachev? Can he helps the world again and this time the 'China Wall? Or perhaps Henry Kissinger helps to create a' breathing space' for all parties to de escalate the situation?
https://www.dw.com/en/former-soviet-leader-mikhail-gorbachev-celebrates-his-90th-birthday/a-56751812
[1:05 pm, 28/02/2022] +Smiley face: Who is Putin?
https://youtu.be/9mhi_AyQAyw
[1:06 pm, 28/02/2022] +Smiley face: Perhaps that's the problem..?
https://youtu.be/W2Cugn8JZfk
[1:08 pm, 28/02/2022] +Smiley face: Better times...
https://youtu.be/eRRBVV3StJM
[1:09 pm, 28/02/2022] +Smiley face: "You need oil & foods for a longer battle...?"
https://www.foxbusiness.com/economy/china-confirms-it-has-lifted-wheat-import-restrictions-on-russia
[1:10 pm, 28/02/2022] +Smiley face: That's how a declaration of war proceeds!
https://youtu.be/lK8gYGg0dkE
[1:12 pm, 28/02/2022] +Smiley face: It is the aspiration of the Chinese since Mao ZeDong's great leap, the very obsession over aeronautics knowledge specifically of late, the engine and the landing gear system for passenger aircraft 80,000kg and above.
The existing top engine makers are CFM, Pratt & Whitney, GE and Rolls Royce.
Heroux-Devtek, CIRCOR Aerospace, Liebherr Group, Safran Landing Systems, Triumph Group, UTC Aerospace Systems, Merill Technologies Group, Magellan Aerospace, and Eaton Corporation are some of the leading landing gear manufacturer.
Does Ukraine has either or both attributes that the Chinese needs?
[1:13 pm, 28/02/2022] +Smiley face: ".. that Alpha male personality and the accompanied high Ego unlike the female Alpha that seldom goes to war..."
- - anonymous
[1:23 pm, 28/02/2022] +REACH: Russia's invasion of Ukraine a clear and gross violation of international norms: Vivian Balakrishnan
More: https://str.sg/wsTy
[1:24 pm, 28/02/2022] +Caleb: Currently we got export such items?
[1:32 pm, 28/02/2022] +Thomas: There r items that be use in commercial or military purposes
[1:39 pm, 28/02/2022] ☸️ Danny εΏ:
https://www.straitstimes.com/world/us-says-putins-nuclear-alert-totally-unacceptable-as-ukraine-russia-talks-set-to-begin
US says Putin's nuclear alert 'totally unacceptable' as Ukraine-Russia talks set to begin.
[1:40 pm, 28/02/2022] ☸️ Danny εΏ: https://www.straitstimes.com/world/europe/putins-plan-for-rapid-invasion-of-ukraine-has-not-gone-as-expected
Putin's plan for rapid invasion of Ukraine has not gone as expected.
Aggression don't pay.
[1:41 pm, 28/02/2022] +Smiley face: https://www.voanews.com/a/6224958.html
[2:17 pm, 28/02/2022] +Rama: Well said and done
[2:17 pm, 28/02/2022] +Rama: He is a has been
[2:18 pm, 28/02/2022] +Rama: Not surprising
[2:18 pm, 28/02/2022] +Rama: Divine intervention
[2:19 pm, 28/02/2022] +Rama: Down size their diplomatic mission here and ours there
[2:31 pm, 28/02/2022] +BL: Russia is at risk because if their War goes badly wrong they could be invaded themselves.
[2:54 pm, 28/02/2022] +Poh S Lim: Pray that it does not escalate into a nuclear war.
Russian aggression is a credible threat not to be taken lightly. Putin is not mentally stable for starting an invasion of a neighbouring sovereign country, and all his reasons are not sufficient justification for an atrocious act of aggression. Ukraine has not invaded Russia and is not in a position to do so, so all Putin’s posturing is a pretext for a person who imagines himself to be the next Russian Tsar. About 200 years ago, Napoleon Bonaparte of France had the similar idea of entitlement and crowned himself an Emperor. I suspect Putin would be bound to do the same and try to revive a Russian Empire with himself being the modern day Tsar.
[2:57 pm, 28/02/2022] +Poh S Lim: Singapore being a country dependent on trade, will surely be affected as ‘collateral damage’ in a worldwide realignment of democracies and autocracies. We may need to choose sides when it comes to that.
[3:27 pm, 28/02/2022] +REACH: ➡️ SIA suspends flights between Singapore and Moscow with immediate effect
More: https://str.sg/wsqo
➡️ 9 S'poreans still in Ukraine, MFA exploring options for them to leave
More: https://str.sg/wsqx
[3:31 pm, 28/02/2022] +Rama: Not likely but I expect their economy to suffer
[3:32 pm, 28/02/2022] +Rama: Very unlikely although probable
[3:32 pm, 28/02/2022] +Rama: Definitely
[3:36 pm, 28/02/2022] +Kelvin Tan M L: @Poh S. Lim As China has some sort of not condemning Russia for their act of aggression, it will likely impact us on which side we have to choose. It is not good for us
[3:37 pm, 28/02/2022] +Rama: They both have a common agenda against the west.
[3:45 pm, 28/02/2022] +Smiley face: What's in Putin's mind? WHO NEEDS WHO MOST!
There is a greater needs now for the Russians to breakthrough these blockades from redrawing the geography to sanctions, be forewarned that "Fear is a (global) reaction. Courage is a (Putin) decision.” said Winston Churchill.
Free access and control into the Baltic sea through the three balken nations. What's the reactions from the nordic nations?
Free access and control into the Black Sea through Istanbul, a NATO/ OBOR member. How about the Middle East Oil countries economics interests?
The North Pole and its sea routes are done deal for the Russians, the Chinese and the Americans.
Chernobyl may be the last chip on the roulette table?
Likewise for China, the South China Sea is China's front door too!
Afterwords:
'when your big house is blocked by many smaller houses in front of you...?'
- - anonymous
'How to bake a cake (TSMC) what if you are short of flour and eggs, likewise for any electric car maker (VW), where are the batteries and the micro chips...?'"
- - anonymous
[3:52 pm, 28/02/2022] ☸️ Danny εΏ:
https://sg.news.yahoo.com/russia-facing-total-isolation-over-025336845.html
Russia facing total isolation over Ukraine after ally China refuses to back them at UN.
[3:53 pm, 28/02/2022] +Rama: Look closely across the globe and see those that stand still with them
[3:57 pm, 28/02/2022] ☸️ Danny εΏ:
https://news.yahoo.com/china-far-not-helping-russia-004255403.html
China so far not helping Russia evade Western sanctions - U.S. official.
[3:59 pm, 28/02/2022] +Rama: More being done clandestinely
[4:00 pm, 28/02/2022] +Smiley face: https://www.nytimes.com/2022/02/20/climate/carbon-biden-drilling-climate.html
[4:02 pm, 28/02/2022] ☸️ Danny εΏ:
China fought a brief border war with Russia.
China is well aware and against naked aggression and invasion against a sovereign country based on its historical lesson.
China is equally uneasy about Russia invasion of Ukraine.
[4:04 pm, 28/02/2022] +Rama: For now, kiss and make up against the west
[4:07 pm, 28/02/2022] +Smiley face: https://www.reuters.com/world/putin-tells-xi-new-deal-that-could-sell-more-russian-gas-china-2022-02-04/
[4:10 pm, 28/02/2022] ☸️ Danny εΏ:
https://sg.yahoo.com/finance/news/cracks-emerge-between-beijing-moscow-161216654.html
Cracks emerge between Beijing and Moscow as two Chinese banks restrict lending.
[4:20 pm, 28/02/2022] ☸️ Danny εΏ:
Ukraine invasion: Singapore to impose unilateral sanctions on Russia in ‘almost unprecedented’ move.
Singapore’s decision to act in concert with the West to impose unilateral sanctions marks the second time it is censuring a foreign power without UN Security Council assent.
Foreign Minister Vivian Balakrishnan warns the republic may have to face ‘some costs’ for the sanctions, but that it must ‘stand up for principles’ as a small state.
https://www.scmp.com/week-asia/politics/article/3168648/ukraine-invasion-singapore-impose-unilateral-sanctions-russia
[4:23 pm, 28/02/2022] +Smiley face: https://youtu.be/o9A-u8EoWcI
[4:29 pm, 28/02/2022] +Rama: Well said
[4:30 pm, 28/02/2022] +Smiley face: https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-02-24/why-us-germany-sanctions-nord-stream-2-punish-russia/100856910
[4:30 pm, 28/02/2022] +Rama: Watch the stock market globally
[4:33 pm, 28/02/2022] +Rama: Wow
[4:35 pm, 28/02/2022] ☸️ Danny εΏ:
Many Western media and politicians don't understand how China think - and always too quickly make the wrong conclusion about China.
[4:36 pm, 28/02/2022] +Rama: That's the biggest mistake to this day!
[4:38 pm, 28/02/2022] ☸️ Danny εΏ:
China thinking is not to wage a war, but concentrate on building their Economy, finances and softpower.
War destroy what they build over the years.
And China suntze art of war classify that waging war - is the last thing a power should do.
[4:39 pm, 28/02/2022] +Smiley face: https://www.irrawaddy.com/news/burma/myanmar-regime-backs-russias-invasion-of-ukraine.html
[4:40 pm, 28/02/2022] +Rama: Exactly
[4:40 pm, 28/02/2022] +Smiley face: https://www.dw.com/en/china-russia-arming-myanmar-junta-un-expert-says/a-60868089
[4:40 pm, 28/02/2022] +Rama: China and Russia back the ruling junta here!
[4:40 pm, 28/02/2022] +Rama: Not surprising
[4:41 pm, 28/02/2022] +Rama: https://www.hindustantimes.com/world-news/abe-questions-us-over-taiwan-after-ukraine-fiasco-by-the-west-101645940884761.html
[4:41 pm, 28/02/2022] +Rama: Food for thought!
[4:49 pm, 28/02/2022] +Smiley face: https://www.phnompenhpost.com/national-politics/putin-gives-pm-friendship-medal
[4:51 pm, 28/02/2022] +Rama: Agree
[4:51 pm, 28/02/2022] +Smiley face: https://www.thestar.com.my/aseanplus/aseanplus-news/2022/02/25/russia-eyeing-tourism-ties-with-laos
[4:51 pm, 28/02/2022] +Rama: Be wary
[4:51 pm, 28/02/2022] +Rama: Something is fishy here
[4:52 pm, 28/02/2022] ☸️ Danny εΏ:
China people very smart.
They don't anyhow go to war.
Like all Chinese, they prefer wealth than war.
[4:52 pm, 28/02/2022] +Rama: Yes
[4:54 pm, 28/02/2022] +Smiley face: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/2/25/pakistan-imran-putin-russia-ukraine-invasion
[4:55 pm, 28/02/2022] +Rama: Trap being set
[4:59 pm, 28/02/2022] +Smiley face: https://www.reuters.com/world/putin-tells-xi-new-deal-that-could-sell-more-russian-gas-china-2022-02-04/
[4:59 pm, 28/02/2022] +Smiley face: One knows the century old game, the reactions and counted the odds! The SWIFT sanction seems an effective old way to stop things... Where are you going to park this $117?
[5:01 pm, 28/02/2022] ☸️ Danny εΏ:
It is paid in yuan not Swift dollars.
[5:03 pm, 28/02/2022] ☸️ Danny εΏ: https://www.globaltimes.cn/page/202202/1253221.shtml
Yuan increasingly preferred amid de-dollarization of China-Russia trade.
[5:03 pm, 28/02/2022] +Smiley face: If it dealt in US$ that's alot of ¥ You got it, not via swift.
[5:05 pm, 28/02/2022] ☸️ Danny εΏ:
Ukraine: what will China do? There are signs it is uneasy about Putin’s methods.
Increasingly, Russia will become an outcast state.
https://sg.news.yahoo.com/ukraine-china-signs-uneasy-putin-071506405.html
[5:06 pm, 28/02/2022] +Rama: So, petrodollar will due off one day in the future!?
[5:08 pm, 28/02/2022] ☸️ Danny εΏ:
War, politics distort the allocation of world resources - and results in economics displacement.
Eventually world resources will wriggle itself out.
[5:12 pm, 28/02/2022] ☸️ Danny εΏ:
Russia will eventually be outcast to trade in yuan and outside the world economic and financial system.
Russia as a result will become overly dependent on China for its economic growth and development.
In the long run, this is unsustainable for Russia.
[5:18 pm, 28/02/2022] ☸️ Danny εΏ:
Russia adventurism into Ukraine and it's USSR dream - may exert a heavy price on Russia Economy.
Eventually, Russia may lose big rather than win regardless of the outcome of its war with Ukraine.
Hence aggression don't pay.
Waging a war don't pay - suntze art of war - war is fought and win without committing a soldier is the most superior war strategy.
[5:25 pm, 28/02/2022] +Rama: The greatest war planners and executioners are the Chinese!
[5:26 pm, 28/02/2022] +Rama: . Putin is blind on this
[5:56 pm, 28/02/2022] ☸️ Danny εΏ:
Ukraine is a big country with a large land mass.
It has a large standing army of 200,000 not counting civilian who is taking up arm.
It also has tanks, fighter jets, arty piece, air defence.
It use to have nuclear weapons but dismantle all of it.
The west are providing sophisticated arms like anti-tank javelin, anti-aircraft stinger missiles to Ukraine.
So Ukraine is not a pushover.
If they are determine to fight, Russia troops may not bow jia.
In fact Russia troops are demoralised and poor logistics cause their tanks to run out of fuel.
[5:57 pm, 28/02/2022] +Rama: Exactly
[6:45 pm, 28/02/2022] +REACH: Dear Contributors,
⏰ We will be closing the chat in 15 minutes ⏰
Thank you very much for being part of our WhatsApp chat and participating actively.
Goodnight!
Megan
[6:57 pm, 28/02/2022] +Smiley face: 24 February, 2022
To: Our Distinguished and All Honorables
"Just When We Think Covid Is Scary, Here Comes A New Variable - Wars..!"
Global Perspectives:
"You need oil and foods to play this game, a longer battle, perhaps this is not a paper tiger... "
... "
For a moment, the world seems to have smallened covid! Disruptions in progress or a new world order in making? The geopolitics situation changed this noon, President Putin unorthodox maneuvers into Ukraine. Of interest, the eastern part of Ukraine is the FARM BELT (thick fertile 'Chernozems' black soil of up to 60m deep) feeding hundred of countries and military facilities and its resulted industries, meanwhile China busy buying up wheats, soybean and corns. Germany economics benefits in the Eastern Europe region will be affected too.
This is it ! Its REAL Russian Sovereignty war, a resources driven war and the return of the Superpower Russians in play! What's concerning are Lithuania, a passage to the Baltic countries and the Sea, the former Yugoslavia, three possible targets for Russia in the order of priorities. The city of Chernobyl (active radiation) has fallen to the Russians hand. An interesting afterthought is that Turkey (a strategic OBOR/NATO) owns Istanbul, a long ago silk road to Europe and now importantly the gate keeper into the Black Sea! The idea of "these lands used to be mine" happening as the world is getting out of a messy pandemic into another anarchy in making, perhaps a perfect storm, soon?
It mirrored what Winston Churchill said, "This is not the end. It is not even the beginning of the end. But, perhaps, the end of the beginning."
Will there be a nuclear war? Yes for a starter, in limited capacity, it will be a TACTICAL nuclear bomb of SMALL magnitude not amounting to global or regional harms! Simply, a" low dosage bomb" enough to flatten a city of l0, 000 humans like the city of Chernobyl that itself will be a showing of "big brother muscles" to all nations, this possible case Russia to the US and Europe! Will the US and NATO react by counter N bombing to Russia? Will this FORCED push by the Russians that will leave no choice to the US intervenes into a larger scale war? Unavoidably, It will be a zero sum game!
Domestic Prospectives:
Households & Individuals (Ground Zero) - -
Daily Groceries -
All days rebate for PG, Disabled & MG at NTUC FAIR PRICE.
Daily Commute -
Public transportation include bus and train, 5% discount for PG, Disabled and students up to IHL, 2% discount for MG, EZ link card.
GST voucher - per person
$500 for PG & Disabled
$300 for MG
$100 for the rest
Option to give back any amount. This pooled amount, govt will match to the closest dollars DIVIDE equally to the needest 10% of households.
Economy:
No retrenchment, please? Standing by for another JSS?
There is even a greater needs now to focus on our domestic economies to derive a sustainable circulating (ε εΎͺη―) and a healthy economy. From our SMEs to the MNCs, a hawker to a worker, that's important now and going forward the next 3 years.
Possible deficit of up to $25.0 billion, a minimum of $3.0 billion from Covid healthcare interventions. The rest of $22.0 billion will cost from sectors like upgrade of skills, transit trainings, sustaining our jobs, SME, F&B, Tourism related trades subsidies or grants and assistance given to the most vulnerable 20% of our households.
High chance of the US Fed borrowing rates of up to 1.25 basis points within 6Qs well into 2023, the expected increase in wages and the US mid term elections comes Q4, 2022.
What if a weaken US dollars, will it ripples on the global debts markets include individual nations in terms of internal circulating domestic debts? The concern is the ability to service these domestic debts from the existing time line of obligations. Nations that are more dependent on the US economies and its markets. For US dollars pegged loans, it will be a slight relieve though a short one (3Q), a cautiously optimistic view.
How about the reversal if the US dollars strengthen further? This will be a big pain for nations.
Higher oil and gas prices are escalating into a supply chain reactions to start off with logistics cost and there onwards a multiplier effect across goods and services in the order of significance and impact.
Food Security and Cost:
Forward contracts for importation of foods are crucial for up to 12 months and into 2025. Three big variables are delivery time, climate and weather patterns these days are changing and the chalkup challenges from farm gates of all sorts of fruits & vegetables, meats to wheats/corn/soybean/barley when harvesting, butchering comes due and the port to port lead time.
Australia and NZ, are farm belts and seems to be a safe and stable haven for foods of all sorts from fruits & vegetables, meats to wheat. The key is to ORDER EARLY AND AHEAD to continuously secure our food supply and demand. Logistics time and turnaround of these deliveries of foods are critical components and it comes with a higher cost too. Australia and NZ looking good as 'silent winners' with other food producing countries, this resources driven war!
Summary:
How Singapore strategized and decisively dealt with crises from the 1970s to the recent decade? What were the tools deployed in each crisis that made us relevant, stronger and less damaged?
Rising food, oil, energy and wages all pointing to an inevitable inflation of goods & services, nation to nation! Will these rise in prices recede to 2019 levels? Unlikely, unless there is a consecutive seasons of bumper croplings of wheat, corn and barley with an acceptable disruptions from port to port deliveries of these raw and perishable commodities. One way to mitigate wastages, minimise variables and trimming of shipping time is to setup BIG SCALE processing plants at these targeted corps producing countries. These complex interrelated processing plants will include flour, feeds and fertiliser end products and all byproducts extracted from the spectrum of these processings. Who will undertake such mega projects, will it be G&G or G&G&B initiatives? Any chance of these intended processes contributing towards green energy too?
To contain these rising concerns, we need deeper pockets, excellent forward forecastings, and a bigger wits in managing these trying times of changes and challenges! In extra ordinary times, we need extra ordinary solutions and measures to have a softer landing, these instances, finding ways, means and perseveres for a better tomorrows, our SG!
Afterwords:
In WWI, it was Mexico that tickled the US into war (Pres W. Wilson) ; it was hawaii at the Pacific that fired up the US into WWII (Pres F. D. Roosevelt) !
This round, could it be the "NINE DASH LINE" of Islands in the South China Sea or the ROC that will motivate the US to react? Let not it happens!!!
Taking references from the 1970s energy/oil crisis, the 1980s global recession, the 1990s Asian Financial crisis, the 2009 Global Financial crisis and the 2015 stock markets sell-off. There is a need to have a good knowledge and understanding these past political & economics history of these crises and the aftermaths that led to the present situations!
What if tomorrow comes a scenario of high interest rates and high oil prices or low interest rates and high oil prices? Either reality, this will be a new big pain for nations and sufferings to all walks of life!
Three things to follow that is COST CUTTING, FORECASTING AND FORWARD THINKING couple with a good understanding of the history of the Russian, the Chinese and the US from the1960s till today 2022 and into 2025 and beyond!
Fact is, it has already started so, for 'history often rhymes', said Mark Twain!
What's the problems?
https://www.foxbusiness.com/economy/
https://youtu.be/W2Cugn8JZfk
Who is Putin?
https://youtu.be/9mhi_AyQAyw
Who is Gorbachev? Can he helps the world again and this time the 'China Wall? Or perhaps Henry Kissinger helps to create a' breathing space' for all parties to de escalate the situation?
https://www.dw.com/en/former-soviet-leader-mikhail-gorbachev-celebrates-his-90th-birthday/a-56751812
That's how a declaration of war proceeds!
https://youtu.be/lK8gYGg0dkE
".. that Alpha male personality and the accompanied high Ego unlike the female Alpha that seldom goes to war..."
- - anonymous
- - END - -
[7:00 pm, 28/02/2022] +REACH: Dear Contributors,
We will be closing the chat for today.
Thank you very much for being part of our WhatsApp chat and participating actively.
Goodnight!
Megan π
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