台湾是中国的大包袱也是战乱的祸根 （小智慧，大道理）

Taiwan is China's big baggage and root cause to war

29 Nov 2025

https://vt.tiktok.com/ZSfX8kMn4/

1. 台湾是中国的大包袱也是战乱的祸根.

Taiwan is China's biggest baggage and the root cause to war brought onto China.

2. 中国土地这么大，人才充足，经济发展这么迅速 - 却被台湾拖累了，拖慢了，

China has such a big landmass, plentiful of human talents, economic development has been so rapid - but is slowdown, impeded by Taiwans affair.

3. 还应为台湾被西方，日本 作为 筹码 被牵制着 - 竖立很多仇家，寸步难行。

Taiwan has been hijacked by the West, Japan as hostage and hold as pawn  - to check on China, retarding its development and progress, and in the process let China make many enemies and as a result, very difficult to expand its interest, trade, business, investment and travel throughout the World.

4. 佛曰 ：- 握紧拳头一直不放，就是苦的根源。拳头握的越紧，痛苦越深。把拳头松开，痛苦渐渐消失。

As Buddha say, clenching your fist and refuse to let go, it is where Sufferings started and the root cause of pain.

The harder you clench your fist and refuse to let go, the deeper the Sufferings.

Releasing the grasp, Sufferings gradually subsided.

5. 一个领导者，仔细分析了利与弊，是否因该把台湾的统一放在最后而不是把他放在第一位呢？

As a leader, after weighing the pros and cons, cost and benefit analysis, should Taiwan reunification issue be put as the last priority instead of the 1st priority?

6. 

2024 (USD)

Taiwan GDP （台湾国内生产总值）= $797 billion

中国个省国内生产总值 (China provinces respective GDP)

广东 = $1,988 billion

江苏 = $1,923 billion

山东 = $1,384 billion

浙江 = $1,265 billion

北京 = $699 billion

台湾国内生产总值 微不足道 冰山一角， 却把整个中国拖到焦头烂额，到处竖立仇家，被对手牵制，牵着鼻子走， 真是中国的大包袱啊！ 如果把台湾统一丢到后头 （台湾岛是不会游走的，永远就在中国对面），让他自身自灭，最后才来处理，是否会更好呢？

只要中国把国内经济搞好，强大，仁慈，释放橄榄汁，结交朋友满天下， 台湾有一天会感动而自动回归中国。

毕竟 人是吃软不吃硬的。以德服人 是最殊胜的统一方法。

Taiwan GDP is inconsquential to China as many provinces produce much higher GDP than Taiwan. Yet Taiwan has cause so much damages to China in terms of reputation, access to International friends, markets, making enemies along the way because of Taiwan, and let its adversaries exploit Taiwan as pawn to pull China whatever direction they want by its' nose. 

Taiwan indeed is the biggest baggage and obstacle to China development, progress, moving into international space and progress.

If throw Taiwan reunification issue as last priority as it is inconsquential and wait for the ripe time, it could automatically seek reunification with China if China is doing very well.

A willing heart is easier to reunify by extending the olive branch than through clench fist and guns.

7. 反之，如果中国坚持对台湾的控制并将其作为首要任务，则可能出现两种结果：

一、和平统一——台湾被说服以类似香港和澳门的独立省份重新加入中国，享有自治权，保留警察部队但不保留军队。

这是最佳结果，但鉴于台湾社会的发展趋势，可能性极低，几乎不可能实现。

二、武力统一——鉴于台湾目前缺乏与中国统一的决心，这或许是最有可能出现的情况。

如果这种情况如中国所言成为首要任务，可能出现以下后果：

a. 投入兵力、登陆作战、轰炸——大规模常规战争爆发，将动用空军、海军陆战队、陆军和火箭部队。

b. 外国军队可能介入——例如日本、美国。

c. 西方国家可能对中国实施制裁——冻结中国在全球的资金、资产和投资。

d. 贸易、商业、投资、旅行等都将受到限制，中国的经济和金融将遭受重创（整个中国经济将遭受毁灭性打击——仅仅因为一个微不足道的台湾）。

e. 中国军队试图占领台湾时，台湾和中国入侵部队都将伤亡惨重。

f. 如果日本和美国军队与中国进行导弹交战，中国东部沿海省份甚至内陆省份都将遭受破坏甚至摧毁——因为日本和美国拥有贴地巡航导弹、隐形战斗机、轰炸机和无人机，可以规避防空系统。

g. 同样，台湾的许多基础设施也将遭到破坏或摧毁，因为中国的隐形飞机、导弹和入侵部队将袭击台湾。

h. 中国仅仅因为一个微不足道的台湾省份，就遭受了高达数千亿美元甚至数万亿美元的巨大经济损失。此外，还将造成数十万人伤亡。台湾、日本和美国海军的情况也类似。

损失和灾难极其巨大，甚至可能引发第三次世界大战。

真的划不来啊。代价太大了。中国几十年的成就有可能会被拖垮化为乌有。

7. Conversely, if China hold on to Taiwan and put it as its 1st priority, there are likely 2 outcomes:-

i. Peaceful reunification - whereby Taiwan is convinced to rejoin China as one independent province like HK and Macau - that allow to self-govern, autonomy, keep the police force but no army.

This scenario is the best outcome but very unlikely, very remote looking at how Taiwan society evolve.

ii. Reunification by force - which is the most likely scenario as Taiwan resolve for reunification with China in the current settings are not there.

If this scenario is to happen as China put it as its 1st priority, the following could be the outcomes:-

a. Committing forces, landings, bombings - large conventional war breakout that will invoke the airforce, marine, army and the rocket units.

b. Foreign forces could jump in - eg. Japan, US.

c. Sanctions against China could have been implemented by the West - freezing China money, assets, investments across the World.

d. Trade, business, investment, travel etc - will be restricted and China's economy and finance will take a big hit (The whole China's economy take the most devastating hit - because of one little inconsequential Taiwan).

e. As China forces try to take over Taiwan - heavy casualties on both Taiwan and China invading troops will be incurred.

f. If Japan and US forces trade missiles blow with China, China east coast provinces or even inland provinces will suffer damages or even destruction - as Japan and US have land hugging cruise missiles, stealth fighter planes and bombers and drones that can evade air defences.

g. Likewise Taiwan many infrastructures will be damage or destroy as China stealth planes, missiles, and invading forces plummet Taiwan.

h. China because of 1 tiny inconsequential Taiwan province - suffer mammoth Economic damages that can run up to hundred of billions of $ or even trillion $. And will have military and civilians casaulties and death that could run into hundred thousands of injuries or death. Same with Taiwan, Japan and US naval forces.

The damages and catastrophes are immense - and could trigger WW3.

It is really not worth it. The price to be paid is simply too high. It may even pull down China as a whole and its so many decades of Economic achievement and standing may go down the drain.